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BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T100000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T113000
DTSTAMP:20240604T083030Z
CREATED:20240508T152640Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240604T083030Z
UID:10000248-1718186400-1718191800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:How will tropical vegetation respond to climate change? Implications for nature-based solutions and adaptation
DESCRIPTION:Cities are promoting nature-based solutions to adapt to climate change. Urban nature-based solutions including urban forests\, parks\, and vertical greenery can mitigate urban heat and flooding whilst providing space for recreation and supporting biodiversity. However\, the species planted in these systems are themselves vulnerable to climate change\, including rising temperatures\, extreme precipitation and more severe droughts. Many species in the tropics live near the upper limits of their thermal tolerance\, leaving narrow safety margins to cope with climate change. Moreover\, there is a dearth of quantitative data on tropical ecosystems and species. How species respond to climate change will have implications for ecosystem function\, including the ecosystem services provided by nature-based solutions. Predicting the direction and nature of such responses is key to accurately quantify the ongoing effectiveness of nature-based solutions\, and for decision makers to select climate resilient species in urban greening efforts. Here we present the results of a systematic literature review synthesising the physiological responses of tropical vegetation to rising temperatures and drought. From a systematic literature search returning 5\,020 papers we evaluate the state of the evidence for 311 papers reporting a response of a tropical flora species to rising temperatures\, waterlogging or drought. Using Singapore as a case study we evaluate the implications of the evidence for urban greening strategies and climate resilience planning through consultation with the National Parks Agency. Further\, we evaluate the strengths and weaknesses of the methodological approaches reviewed and highlight key knowledge gaps.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/how-will-tropical-vegetation-respond-to-climate-change-implications-for-nature-based-solutions-and-adaptation/
LOCATION:H 0111
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T100000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T113000
DTSTAMP:20240604T082403Z
CREATED:20240508T152406Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240604T082403Z
UID:10000246-1718186400-1718191800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Ruptures in perceived solution spaces for adaptation to flood risk: Actor-specific insights from Mumbai’s flood risk reduction and general lessons
DESCRIPTION:Adaptation to the increasing impacts of climate change will require societies to design portfolios of risk management solutions by selecting from an array of available adaptation options. A major step on the way toward a strong social contract for adaptation is understanding how different actors view different adaptation options as well as what adaptation goals they have and for whom. Here we adopt an actor-oriented multi-dimensional framework to understand how different actors evaluate their perceived adaptation solution space. The aim is to understand who identifies which adaptation options and how they are assessed as well as what desired objectives are and for whom they are targeted. In other words\, what works\, how\, for what\, and for whom. We build on the feasibility and effectiveness assessments used in IPCC’s sixth assessment report and explore the framework by applying it to the solution space for flood risk in Mumbai. We draw on empirical data collected through key informant interviews with state\, civil society\, and academic actors. Our findings show that\, overall\, actors see the need for institutional changes and green infrastructure measures. In terms of the factors perceived to enable or constrain adaptation\, actors agree on the pivotal role of institutional aspects as even more important than financial or technical factors. However\, the assessment revealed stark disparities between state and non-state actors\, in particular on the objective of efficiency\, largely emphasized by state actors for physical infrastructure measures. Other contested objectives included ecosystem protection and fairness for vulnerable populations. This study makes an empirical and analytical contribution to advance feasibility and effectiveness assessments by including actor perceptions in the evaluation of solution spaces for adaptation in real-world settings. It aims to inform decision-making processes for more effective and equitable adaptation.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/ruptures-in-perceived-solution-spaces-for-adaptation-to-flood-risk-actor-specific-insights-from-mumbais-flood-risk-reduction-and-general-lessons/
LOCATION:H 0111
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T100000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T113000
DTSTAMP:20240604T082332Z
CREATED:20240508T152310Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240604T082332Z
UID:10000245-1718186400-1718191800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:How effective are heat risk management strategies in South Asian cities? A systematic review of literature
DESCRIPTION:Residents in South Asian cities are already facing devastating heatwaves; and at global warming of 2°C\, their exposure to heat stress is set to triple. Limiting warming to 1.5°C may halve this impact\, but deadly heat stress could become commonplace\, especially in urban centers (Ashfaq et al.\, 2021). In the face of escalating climate change\, urban environments and human settlements are focal points for effective climate solutions (IPCC\, 2022). Prior research has identified various technologies and strategies to manage extreme heat and showcased instances of adaptation by individuals\, communities\, and governmental stakeholders. However\, a comprehensive understanding of the overall effectiveness of these implemented heat adaptation actions is lacking. This systematic literature review fills this gap by examining the efficacy of different heat risk management solutions—specifically\, nature-based\, technological\, informational\, and structural interventions—implemented in South Asian cities. \nUsing PRISMA guidelines\, the review assesses current evidence to examine how much heat risk is reduced\, and for whom. Care is taken to examine outcomes across spatial and temporal dimensions\, assessing the varied impacts of heat solutions across different climatic zones\, and potential adaptation limits to heat risk management. We also examine whether processes underpinning heat risk management (e.g.\, public participation\, complex risk assessments) lead to more effective solutions. Evaluating the effectiveness of heat adaptation solutions can contribute to climate-resilient urban environments as well as inform urban policymakers on which solutions to prioritise in the short and long-term.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/how-effective-are-heat-risk-management-strategies-in-south-asian-cities-a-systematic-review-of-literature/
LOCATION:H 0111
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T100000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T113000
DTSTAMP:20240604T082258Z
CREATED:20240508T152155Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240604T082258Z
UID:10000244-1718186400-1718191800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Regions at risk: end-of-century impacts of extreme climate change on global population
DESCRIPTION:The human population is projected to grow to between 8.9 billion and 12.4 billion by 2100\, with 85% expected to live in cities. Over 80% of global GDP is generated in cities\, demonstrating the importance of urban environments to human flourishing. As urban infrastructure systems are vulnerable to climate change it is vital that the full range of potential impacts on urban areas are understood. \nHigh-impact\, low-likelihood (HILL) extreme climate change (ECC) events do not receive as much attention as scenarios considered most likely in the existing literature\, despite the severe threat these tail risks pose to many aspects of human society. This includes impacts on urban infrastructure\, supply chains\, population displacement and migration\, food\, water and energy security and associated consequences such as conflict. There remains significant uncertainty regarding the likelihood of ECC due to\, for example\, potential climate tipping elements that may cascade\, trigger feedbacks and lead to runaway climate change\, even if global warming remains under Paris Agreement thresholds\, which is growing more unlikely. The potentially existential impacts of such scenarios necessitates that we exercise the precautionary principle and explore the boundaries of plausibility. \nIn this study we present synthesised evidence from extreme climate change scenarios\, assessing the potential worst-case impacts on urban systems with a focus on heterogeneous regional impacts and the potential need for significant pre-emptive adaptation efforts. Global regions are ranked according to their potential vulnerability to ECC impacts with the aim of identifying urban areas where critical infrastructure is at risk of failure and what effects are likely to be experienced. We highlight gaps in current understanding and the need to focus research in this area\, including case studies of infrastructure systems in cities identified as vulnerable\, with the aim of generating evidence for use in policy development.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/regions-at-risk-end-of-century-impacts-of-extreme-climate-change-on-global-population/
LOCATION:H 0111
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T153000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T170000
DTSTAMP:20240529T111454Z
CREATED:20240508T111630Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T111454Z
UID:10000139-1718119800-1718125200@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Behavioural science interventions within the development and environmental fields in developing countries: A systematic review
DESCRIPTION:Human behaviour is a key driver of climate change\, and behavioural science interventions offer promising opportunities to promote positive environmental/climate and development outcomes. Yet rigorous empirical guidance is lacking in terms of how to change behaviour most effectively to support adaptation and emissions reductions in developing countries. The primary objective of this systematic review (SR) is to identify\, assess and synthesize evidence on the effectiveness of feedback\, reminders\, salience (communication)\, salience (experience design)\, and goal-setting interventions conducted in developing countries on environmental/climate and development outcomes. We first conducted an interactive evidence gap map (EGM) using a broader research scope to provide an overview of the evidence base on the effectiveness of behavioural science interventions\, covering 22 interventions. The full SR followed an aggregative review approach\, including only the rigorous quantitative impact evaluations of these five interventions. We included randomized controlled trials (RCTs) as well as quasi-experimental studies that used quantitative methods. We conducted 12 meta-analyses in our SR to examine the overall effects of feedback\,
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/behavioural-science-interventions-within-the-development-and-environmental-fields-in-developing-countries-a-systematic-review/
LOCATION:H 0111
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T153000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T170000
DTSTAMP:20240529T111421Z
CREATED:20240508T111525Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T111421Z
UID:10000138-1718119800-1718125200@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Results from an Evidence Synthesis of Process Evaluations of Climate Adaptation in Smallholder Food Production Programs
DESCRIPTION:Food security and environmental crises have become major concerns worldwide\, particularly affecting vulnerable groups in the Global South. Small-scale producers must adopt innovative\, climate-adaptive practices to mitigate these crises. Norad commissioned AIR to synthesize the barriers and facilitators to successful climate adaptations in food production for small-scale food producers and fishers. We identified 1\,627 process evaluations from four scholarly and 23 practitioner databases\, 70 of which we included. We mapped study characteristics by adaptation focus\, geography\, and sector; assessed methodological quality; extracted relevant data using a deductive coding framework based on DAC criteria; and inductively identified new themes during data coding. We applied GRADE-CERQUAL to assess confidence in the review findings.\nInterventions that incorporated contextual analyses\, needs assessments\, and consideration of women’s roles were far more relevant to participants than those that did not. Further\, demonstrating the profit or production value of the climate adaptation facilitated uptake\, particularly when results were seen quickly. Linkages with the private sector and support to produce market-quality products were important to adopting new practices.\nInterventions that failed to incorporate needs assessments were less relevant to participants\, encountered more difficulties during implementation\, and were less likely to be sustainable. A lack of understanding of needs\, capacities\, and practicalities meant that some projects used inappropriate approaches for the context or left significant challenges unaddressed.\nDesigns failed to account for severe weather events\, limited water infrastructure and access\, and the general inaccessibility of project sites impeded intervention effectiveness. Two cultural factors—the mobile and migratory nature of participants and gender norms restricting women’s participation in activities—also moderated the intervention effectiveness. Finally\, inflation and changes in input prices were the primary economic factors that hindered the effectiveness and sustainability of climate adaptive approaches.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/results-from-an-evidence-synthesis-of-process-evaluations-of-climate-adaptation-in-smallholder-food-production-programs/
LOCATION:H 0111
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T153000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T170000
DTSTAMP:20240603T075824Z
CREATED:20240508T111300Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240603T075824Z
UID:10000136-1718119800-1718125200@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:What works for metrics and indicators to track progress on the Global Goal on Adaptation targets
DESCRIPTION:The adoption of the UAE Framework for Global Climate Resilience\, commonly referred to as the global goal on adaptation (GGA) framework\, was a major COP 28 decision. The framework sets 11 global adaptation targets\, including for key sectors and adaptation processes. This brings the question of what indicators and metrics can work for tracking GGA targets? It also requires understanding the characteristics of good indicators for tracking the progress of GGA targets. We are synthesising wide evidence of human adaptation to inform robust discussion on what effective metrics and indicators for tracking GGA targets would look like and what is available for use to track the progress of GGA targets. Using in-depth synthesis of literature on adaptation evidence between 2014 and 2024 we will provide insights on what robust metrics and indicators for tracking the GGA targets could look like. In-depth synthesis of scientific literature is supported by synthesis of metrics and indicators listed in government adaptation policy documents (e.g.\, Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs)\, National Adaptation Plans (NAPs)\, Adaptation Communications (AdComs)). This synthesis of a diversity of adaptation information ensures that the metrics and indicators developed are also supported by evidence on what countries are prioritising and have relevance for monitoring and evaluating the GGA targets at both global and national or subnational levels. This approach holds the potential for ensuring that the metrics and indicators are robust and supported by empirical evidence on what countries are prioritising\, thus supporting linkages between global and national scales in the assessment of adaptation progress.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/what-is-effective-adaptation-in-the-context-of-the-global-goal-on-adaptation/
LOCATION:H 0111
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T153000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T170000
DTSTAMP:20240529T111240Z
CREATED:20240508T111154Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T111240Z
UID:10000135-1718119800-1718125200@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Nature based solutions: an evidenced-based hype? A systematic review of the effectiveness of adaptation interventions in agricultural and coastal sectors
DESCRIPTION:The global evidence-base on the effectiveness of climate change adaptation interventions in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) has been rapidly growing in recent years\, particularly in the agricultural and coastal sectors. This paper presentation addresses the question of whether results are consistent across pre-defined types of interventions\, outcomes and sectors using a systematic review of 363 empirical observations published in the scientific literature. Results show that nature-based solutions (NbS) have the strongest positive effects for both the coastal and agricultural sectors. In the coastal sector\, NbS contribute to reduce the risk of climate-related shocks and stressors\, while in the agricultural sector\, they enhance adaptive capacity (i.e.\, specifically the provision of economic benefits). Informational and infrastructure interventions also exhibit positive effects in the agricultural sector. Social/behavioural interventions in the coastal sector show particularly negative effects. Taken together\, our results highlight the opportunity for development and climate adaptation practitioners to promote co-benefits beyond risk reduction\, particularly in the case of NbS.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/nature-based-solutions-an-evidenced-based-hype-a-systematic-review-of-the-effectiveness-of-adaptation-interventions-in-agricultural-and-coastal-sectors/
LOCATION:H 0111
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T153000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T170000
DTSTAMP:20240609T114904Z
CREATED:20240508T111042Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240609T114904Z
UID:10000134-1718119800-1718125200@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Evidence Synthesis of Adaptation Success: Insights from 50 Leading Experts and Implications for Research and Practice
DESCRIPTION:Governments\, organisations\, and communities worldwide are formulating and executing strategies to adapt to climate change. Yet\, how to know if they are going in the right direction? What does “success” in adaptation actually mean? Conversely\, what does failure look like and how can we avoid it? To address these questions\, we develop an evolved theoretical understanding of “adaptation” and “adaptation success”\, drawing from the lived experiences\, professional journeys\, and viewpoints of fifty of the most eminent adaptation experts worldwide. Our study is anchored in the belief that the worldviews and experiences of those who have made substantial scientific and practical contributions to climate adaptation – be it by coining inceptive ideas\, driving political negotiations internationally\, or striving for transformative adaptation on the ground – can provide valuable insights into the current state of the field\, its evolution\, limitations and the pathways forward. To accomplish this\, we conducted fifty semi-structured interviews with researchers and practitioners who have dedicated an average of 19 years to diverse adaptation disciplines and practices. Our selection process prioritised gender balance\, geographic and ethnic diversity\, and disciplinary variety. We reveal a redefined conceptualization of “adaptation” that reflects decades of evolution in understanding and learning\, thereby unearthing significant milestones and insights that helped redefine the term. This evolution is marked by the powerful realisation that there are limits to adaptation\, which carries\, on the one hand\, a sense of failure and frustration and\, on the other\, a renewed sense of urgency and commitment to action. Against this backdrop\, our study also reveals a new collective definition of “adaptation success”\, which embraces these shifting paradigms. By exploring these nuanced understandings of climate adaptation\, our findings offer a compelling narrative that encourages a re-evaluation of current approaches and informs future directions in navigating the continuum between adaptation success and failure.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/evidence-synthesis-of-adaptation-success-insights-from-50-leading-experts-and-implications-for-research-and-practice/
LOCATION:H 0111
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T113000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T130000
DTSTAMP:20240529T110449Z
CREATED:20240508T084538Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T110449Z
UID:10000060-1718105400-1718110800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Dichotomy or Continuum? A global review of the interaction between autonomous and planned adaptations
DESCRIPTION:Adaptation to climate change is often conceptualized as either/or\, as a dichotomy\, with adaptation responses being categorized as either planned (formal and structured) or autonomous (organic\, self-organized\, everyday). There is recent anecdotal and theoretical evidence on the existence and importance of the interplay between autonomous and planned adaptation\, however examination of this interaction has been limited to date. We use a global database of 1\,682 peer-reviewed articles on adaptation responses (from the Global Adaptation Mapping Initiative\, GAMI) to systematically examine autonomous and planned adaptations\, both quantitatively and qualitatively\, with an emphasis on how these types of adaptations interact with one another. We propose a third category\, mixed adaptation\, which demonstrates characteristics of both autonomous and planned types\, and which recognizes nuances in how organization\, external support\, formality\, and autonomy manifest in the fuzzy space between the two. We find that more than one-third of articles reporting on adaptation responses fall into this mixed category\, with cases across sectors and world regions. We develop a qualitative typology of mixed adaptation that identifies nine ways that autonomous and planned adaptation interact and influence each other both positively and negatively. Based on these findings\, we argue for more nuanced examinations of the interplay between autonomous and planned adaptation\, and for conceptualizing adaptation planning as a continuum between the two rather than a dichotomy. This has implications for research design\, which often do not explicitly consider the interactions between autonomous and planned\, rather focus on either/or. This additionally brings questions to policy norms in the era of the Global Stocktake\, where most indicator frameworks focus on planned adaptation\, thus missing huge swaths of effective and equitable adaptation\, occurring in the form of mixed and autonomous adaptation.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/dichotomy-or-continuum-a-global-review-of-the-interaction-between-autonomous-and-planned-adaptations/
LOCATION:H 0111
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T113000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T130000
DTSTAMP:20240529T110417Z
CREATED:20240508T084419Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T110417Z
UID:10000059-1718105400-1718110800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Progress and Gaps in National Adaptation Policy
DESCRIPTION:Globally\, national governments are developing policies and plans to increase resilience to climate hazards across all sectors. To date\, most methodologies used for tracking adaptation progress focus exclusively on policies and plans that explicitly mention climate adaptation\, unfortunately\, this practice leads to the exclusion of many policies that increase climate resilience but are not explicitly called adaptation policies\, leading to an incomplete understanding of progress in this area. Using a novel methodology that utilizes a comprehensive definition of adaptation policy that includes a broader range of resilience policies than traditional tracking methods\, we develop national policy inventories for adaptation in India and the United States and illustrate the landscape of adaptation policies in both countries. Through this comprehensive policy inventory and assessment\, we identify key gaps and areas for increased policy attention in both countries. This work provides a critical contribution to our understanding of national-level adaptation policy progress as well as a methodological contribution that can be replicated to better understand adaptation progress in other countries.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/progress-and-gaps-in-national-adaptation-policy/
LOCATION:H 0111
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T113000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T130000
DTSTAMP:20240529T110343Z
CREATED:20240508T084307Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T110343Z
UID:10000058-1718105400-1718110800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Ways forward in global adaptation evidence synthesis: Lessons learnt from GAMI and beyond
DESCRIPTION:Evidence of climate change adaptation has grown exponentially in recent years and decades. However\, this evidence base is highly heterogeneous in its methods\, context-specificity\, and relevance for effective risk reduction. The Global Adaptation Mapping Initiative (GAMI) was the first systematic evidence synthesis project that mapped adaptation literature from across the globe and categorised the evidence regarding adaptation types\, patterns\, and regional and sectoral clusters and gaps. After GAMI has been successfully finished\, fed into IPCC AR6 reports\, and used for various spin-off scientific papers\, it is time to take stock: What did and what did not work well in the GAMI process? By whom\, for which purposes and with which methods was the GAMI data used? What are future directions and recommendations for global adaptation evidence synthesis? This paper builds on a survey and group discussion among the GAMI core and advisory teams as well as lead authors of GAMI spin-off papers to collect experiences\, amongst others\, about the opportunities and limitations of the dataset\, extensions and re-analyses of the dataset in the various spin-off projects\, and recommendations for more effective adaptation evidence synthesis. The results of this analysis provide the basis for a new initiative for mapping and tracking global adaptation efforts and integration with novel machine learning-assisted methods\, which can feed into the Global Stocktake (2029) and 7th IPCC assessment cycle.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/ways-forward-in-global-adaptation-evidence-synthesis-lessons-learnt-from-gami-and-beyond/
LOCATION:H 0111
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T113000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T130000
DTSTAMP:20240529T110313Z
CREATED:20240508T084142Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T110313Z
UID:10000057-1718105400-1718110800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Mapping and synthesizing evidence on global adaptation progress: Achievements of GAMI and lessons for the future
DESCRIPTION:As climate change adaptation is unfolding across the world\, a scientific evaluation of progress in adaptation is ever more important. Adaptation projects are increasingly reported and assessed in the scientific literature\, covering an growing breadth of case studies from across different world regions and sectors such as agriculture\, critical infrastructure or settlements. Learning from the systematic mapping and synthesis of adaptation evidence documented in such scientific studies was the main objective of the Global Adaptation Mapping Initiative (GAMI). Launched as a research community effort during the IPCC’s Sixth Assessment Cycle (AR6) it has by now generated an important global knowledge base for the evaluation of adaptation. Next to global overview publications (synthesizing close to 3000 articles)\, a considerable number of regional or sector-specific in-depth studies as well as thematic and methodological extensions to the original data set have been published by now. With a view towards AR7 it is therefore time to stake stock current achievements and debate requirements for the future.\nThe session aims to collect and discuss lessons learned within GAMI and reflect on the implications for future adaptation mapping and synthesis. Contributions with a methodological\, conceptual\, empirical or modeling focus are all welcome. Presentations might concentrate on different sectors and regions or address the overall global picture. We invite not only contributions from colleagues who have contributed to GAMI but explicitly also from users who have not been involved but see a need to discuss potential shortcomings and improvements. Questions of the session include but are not limited to: Which methodological challenges exist in the GAMI approach and how can they be overcome? How can GAMI results be validated and triangulated with other data sets? How can the coding methodology of GAMI be combined with other methods e.g. in the field of large language models?
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/session-mapping-and-synthesizing-evidence-on-global-adaptation-progress-achievements-of-gami-and-lessons-for-the-future/
LOCATION:H 0111
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T093000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T110000
DTSTAMP:20240529T100126Z
CREATED:20240508T094714Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T100126Z
UID:10000093-1718098200-1718103600@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Women are under-represented in adaptation policy research and are more likely to emphasise justice topics
DESCRIPTION:This paper is the first to analyse the role of women authors in fostering justice-relevant topics in climate adaptation research.\nAs representation\, citation and payment patterns remain gender-biased across scientific disciplines\, we explore the case of climate science\, particularly adaptation\, as its most human-oriented facet. In climate research and policy\, there has been a recent surge of interest in climate justice topics. Between the latest assessment cycles of the IPCC (AR5 and AR6)\, mentions\nof justice in the reports of the Working Group on Impacts\, Adaptation and Vulnerability have increased almost 10-fold. We conduct a systematic examination of the topic space in the adaptation policy scholarship. As it is a vast and rapidly growing field\, we use topic modelling\, an unsupervised machine learning method\, to identify the literature on climate justice and related fields and examine the relationship between topic prevalence and the gender of the authors. We find climate change adaptation policy research to be male dominated\, with women holding 38.8% of first and 28.8% of last authorships. However\, we observe topic-specific variability\, whereby the shares of female authors are higher among publications on justice-relevant\ntopics. Female authorship is highly linked to topics such as Community\, Local Knowledge\, and Governance\, but less to Food Security and Climate Finance. Our findings corroborate the evidence that female authors play a significant role in advancing the research and dialogue on the relationship between climate change and areas that have meaningful impact on lives of women and other marginalised groups.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/women-are-under-represented-in-adaptation-policy-research-and-are-more-likely-to-emphasise-justice-topics/
LOCATION:H 0111
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T093000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T110000
DTSTAMP:20240529T100047Z
CREATED:20240508T094339Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T100047Z
UID:10000092-1718098200-1718103600@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Multilingual topic modelling international collaborations: lessons from United Nations initiatives on food\, water and climate
DESCRIPTION:In a variety of domains\, the United Nations (UN) asks countries and other actors to submit large volumes of documents. Natural Language Processing\, especially topic modelling\, can be used to gain insights into such datasets and their underlying politics. Here\, we use topic models to analyse three different UN processes: the Global Stocktake under the Paris Agreement\, the Food Systems Summit and the Water Action Agenda. We find marked similarities\, despite the differing domains and underlying politics: submissions broadly represent the interests of the submitting party; moreover\, many submissions discuss fairly general topics\, while regionally dominant- and politically sensitive topics are either left out of the submissions (e.g. dietary change) or left out of official summaries (the Global Stocktake). We discuss the consequences for transparency efforts at the international level and share practical lessons on the topic modelling of multilingual datasets. BERTopic\, in particular\, can make use of recent advances in Large Language Models to create multilingual topic models without the need for translation. At present\, however\, it is also a more complex model to understand and fine-tune\, so we discuss when it is appropriate to use such methods over more established alternatives\, such as non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) and Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA). Overall\, we stress that multilingual data sources can and should be considered more to address structural data inequalities in the tracking of climate impacts and adaptation\, especially given the continuing rapid advances in multilingual NLP.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/multilingual-topic-modelling-international-collaborations-lessons-from-united-nations-initiatives-on-food-water-and-climate/
LOCATION:H 0111
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T093000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T110000
DTSTAMP:20240529T100015Z
CREATED:20240508T094225Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T100015Z
UID:10000091-1718098200-1718103600@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Evidence synthesis of data for tracking progress on adaptation globally
DESCRIPTION:Tracking progress to reduce climate change risks through adaptation has become a topic of significant political interest and debate. Especially under the Paris Agreement’s Global Stocktake and Global Goal on Adaptation\, there are increasing calls for ways to assess progress on adaptation globally. The COP28 decision text includes calls for an iterative adaptation cycle assessment framework for seven key thematic targets: water\, food\, health\, ecosystems\, infrastructure and settlements\, poverty and livelihoods\, and cultural heritage. \nYet there are many epistemological\, normative\, methodological\, and practical challenges for tracking progress. For example\, defining and determining “”progress”” is contested\, with varying adaptation outcomes across societies. Methodologically\, the choice between qualitative and quantitative approaches\, as well as the selection of appropriate indicators\, remains a point of political contention. Practical issues include incomplete or low-quality data\, lack of detail and nuance in indicators\, and difficulties in obtaining local or subnational data\, particularly in places where adaptation is needed most. \nThe main objective of this paper is to provide a systematic assessment of existing datasets from various sources\, including reports\, scientific papers\, and online repositories. We validate our results with an expert panel. The evidence synthesis provides key datasets with conceptually clear indicators and data\, and assessing evidence gaps and limitations. We use these insights to reflect on how feasible existing datasets are to assess progress on adaptation globally and what additional steps may be needed.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/evidence-synthesis-of-data-for-tracking-progress-on-adaptation-globally/
LOCATION:H 0111
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T150000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T163000
DTSTAMP:20240529T084033Z
CREATED:20240508T074833Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T084033Z
UID:10000028-1718031600-1718037000@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Will tracking climate adaptation progress in Africa be a myth or reality? Juxtaposing Nationally Determined Contributions and the Global Goal on Adaptation Framework
DESCRIPTION:The core of the 2015 Paris Agreement and accomplishment of its long-term objectives lie in the Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs). Adaptation commitment in the NDCs represents efforts by each country to adapt to climate impacts and address challenges posed by climate change. The Paris Agreement further established the Global Goal on Adaptation (GGA) and the GGA framework adopted at COP28 sets global targets for adaptation outcomes in key sectors and processes. As such\, there is growing focus on tracking multi-scale adaptation progress. Here\, we provide a contrasting overview of adaptation assessment in Africa’s NDCs and the GGA regarding aligning adaptation goals and targets\, monitoring and evaluation efforts\, as well as identifying best practices for measuring effective adaptation and monitoring progress made to guide planning\, design\, and implementation of adaptation efforts for reporting at the global level. While the GGA framework highlights targets and guides areas for adaptation action a review of the adaptation aspects of African governments’ NDCs shows a lack of precision in terms of clearly identifying vulnerabilities\, priority sectors\, actions taken to date\, needed support\, cost\, and financial gaps. Such contrasts provide insights into potential challenges in tracking adaptation efforts and outcomes by governments which might jeopardize efforts to report at the global level. Considering emerging global perspectives and increasing emphasis on conducting the Global Stocktake under the Paris Agreement\, possible progress in achieving the GGA\, measuring adaptation effectiveness and metrics\, we suggest ways to systematically monitor and report adaptation actions to ensure both NDCs and GGA are achieving their stated objectives and contributing to effective climate adaptation across climate research\, policy\, and investment.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/will-tracking-climate-adaptation-progress-in-africa-be-a-myth-or-reality-juxtaposing-nationally-determined-contributions-and-the-global-goal-on-adaptation-framework/
LOCATION:H 0111
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T150000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T163000
DTSTAMP:20240529T083915Z
CREATED:20240508T074503Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T083915Z
UID:10000026-1718031600-1718037000@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Building a Team for Designing and Developing Evidence-Based Decision-Making Platforms for Climate Change Adaptation in Low- and Middle-Income Countries (LMICs)
DESCRIPTION:
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/building-a-team-for-designing-and-developing-evidence-based-decision-making-platforms-for-climate-change-adaptation-in-low-and-middle-income-countries-lmics/
LOCATION:H 0111
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T150000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T163000
DTSTAMP:20240529T083829Z
CREATED:20240508T074321Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T083829Z
UID:10000025-1718031600-1718037000@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Digital Twin Technology Capability for Climate Change Adaptation
DESCRIPTION:Destination Earth (DestinE) is a flagship initiative of the European Commission to develop a highly-accurate digital model (i.e.\, digital twin) of the Earth to model\, monitor and simulate natural phenomena\, hazards and the related human activities. A key development of DestinE is the digital twin engine for climate adaptation (Climate DT) to operationalise highly accurate climate projections at km scale to support robust decision making for climate change adaptation across sectors and therefore build societal resilience. Another key development of DestinE is the generic adaptation modelling framework designed to empower end-users in harnessing digital twin technology and highly accurate and on-demand climate modelling capability for appraising adaptation options and identifying cost-effective measures that deliver just and equitable climate solutions. The DestinE adaptation modelling framework aims to address the multifaceted aspects of the climate adaptation process from impact assessment to monitoring and evaluation. We will present DestinE’s climate DT and adaptation modelling framework and illustrate ongoing use case applications addressing climate adaptation in cities and coastal areas.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/digital-twin-technology-capability-for-climate-change-adaptation/
LOCATION:H 0111
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T150000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T163000
DTSTAMP:20240529T083751Z
CREATED:20240508T074156Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T083751Z
UID:10000024-1718031600-1718037000@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Including overshoot risks in long-term evidence-based adaptation planning
DESCRIPTION:As climate change intensifies\, it is essential to take a wide range of climate scenarios and their consequential impacts into account for adaptation planning. Overshoot scenarios\, during which global warming will temporarily exceed the 1.5°C Paris Agreement target before it is brought down again in the following decades\, are increasingly likely under current emissions trajectories. They would result in complex risks such as limits to adaptation and irreversible impacts and stress the need to prepare long-term adaptation solutions under deep uncertainty. \nHere\, we introduce the latest version of the Overshooting Proofing Methodology\, a policy instrument or self-assessment tool designed to guide adaptation planners and policy-makers to integrate overshoot risks into planning processes. We will present novel insights from its initial use with key stakeholders at city and regional levels\, highlighting its applicability in varied contexts along with a range of climate data related challenges. We also reflect on how adaptation pathways can allow to adequately plan a sequence of adaptation measures over time based on information collected through this tool. This work provides insights on key data gaps\, capacity building needs and avenues for future robust adaptation solutions\, policy-making and research.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/including-overshoot-risks-in-long-term-evidence-based-adaptation-planning/
LOCATION:H 0111
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T130000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T143000
DTSTAMP:20240529T082617Z
CREATED:20240508T075656Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T082617Z
UID:10000033-1718024400-1718029800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Comparing mitigation\, adaptation and residual damage costs under different socio-economic and climate scenarios
DESCRIPTION:Future socio-economic development plays a crucial role in both climate policy and the impacts of climate change. In this study\, we for the first time systematically compare the costs of mitigation\, adaptation\, and residual damage for different socio-economic and climate scenarios known as the Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs). For this\, we combine recent damage estimates with adaptation costs and introduce differences in the effectiveness of adaptation based on the SSP projection. The results can be presented in terms of SSP/RCP matrix\, with optimal climate outcomes as a function of SSP. The results can also be used to identify critical factors determining the optimal temperature\, including socio-economic development\, technology development and limits to mitigation and adaptation. The socio-economic limits to adaptation lead to damage costs that are 15% to 60% higher than if optimal adaptation had been possible. Overall\, this study demonstrates that the socio-economic developments assumed in the SSP\, including inequality reduction and institutional strength\, can be equally important for the optimal outcome as the factors typically studied such as discount rate.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/comparing-mitigation-adaptation-and-residual-damage-costs-under-different-socio-economic-and-climate-scenarios/
LOCATION:H 0111
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T130000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T143000
DTSTAMP:20240529T082536Z
CREATED:20240508T075510Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T082536Z
UID:10000032-1718024400-1718029800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Adaptation opportunities for transformative adaptation pathways planning
DESCRIPTION:Adaptation pathways provide an approach for long-term planning of adaptation under deep uncertainty by sequencing individual options over time while leaving future options open\, depending on the speed and extent of climate change. Within an adaptation pathway\, the implementation of a new option is traditionally triggered by (approaching) adaptation thresholds (also referred to as adaptation tipping points)\, namely the conditions or timing when current adaptation options stop performing as desired. In this research\, we complement these with the concept of adaptation opportunities. We here define adaptation opportunities as the conditions or moment in time when it is beneficial to implement new adaptation options\, before any thresholds of current measures have been reached or are even approaching. Such opportunities can result from the cost-efficiency of an action being particularly high at a specific moment in time\, and/or the presence of (multiple) specific enabling factors. \nWe start by identifying which categories of adaptation opportunities exist based on a review of adaptation literature\, and we position those within the existing adaptation pathways approach. We then assess how each adaptation opportunity category can be measured and map the different categories across Europe as of today. This results in the identification of present adaptation hotspots in Europe\, namely\, specific areas where adaptation opportunities are particularly high. Adaptation opportunities can serve to frame adaptation action more positively in such a way that goes beyond avoiding adaptation tipping points. In addition\, high opportunities for adaptation may serve as an initial trigger for adaptation action which goes beyond incremental measures and instead may trigger system transformations.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/adaptation-opportunities-for-transformative-adaptation-pathways-planning/
LOCATION:H 0111
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T130000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T143000
DTSTAMP:20240529T082455Z
CREATED:20240508T075338Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T082455Z
UID:10000031-1718024400-1718029800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Lessons from a decade of adaptation pathways studies
DESCRIPTION:Adaptation pathways planning is an approach that maps the adaptation solution space over time to inform decision making under uncertainty. Since its first applications on climate change adaptation in the late ’10s several research studies and practical applications have used and extended the approach and discussed its benefits\, limits and complexity. This presentation elaborates lessons learned on the use and value of adaptation pathways approaches for decision making using a set of guiding questions related to the decision context\, the methods used\, and contributions to decision making. Based on our experience and literature review we find that: a) a pathways analysis has been applied widely and is moving from theory to practice; b) can be tailored and typically follows a staged approach; c) methods include narratives\, impact models\, and stakeholder participation tools; c) complexity of pathways as a result of multiple sectors\, hazards\, and actions at various scales is a challenge\, and this is increasingly considered through various extensions of the approach. Ways forward to address the challenges and facilitate applications include model-based pathways\, nested pathways (at different scales) and incorporating pathways scenarios in climate risk assessments.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/lessons-from-a-decade-of-adaptation-pathways-studies/
LOCATION:H 0111
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T130000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T143000
DTSTAMP:20240529T082417Z
CREATED:20240508T075157Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T082417Z
UID:10000030-1718024400-1718029800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Adaptive capacity in the water sector under socio-economic and climate uncertainty
DESCRIPTION:Under the impelling challenges posed by climate change\, population growth\, and evolving socio-economic landscapes\, the ability of water systems to adapt to changing conditions is critical for ensuring resilience and sustainable resource management. As various regions face escalating water scarcity and more intense occurrences of droughts and floods\, many of these areas also grapple with underdeveloped infrastructure\, lack of access to sanitation services and essential water resources for both populations and agricultural activities.\nWhen rainfall patterns change and groundwater is at risk of exploitation\, water-saving techniques and alternative water sources such as desalination and water recycling need to be made available\, which implies higher costs compared to conventional water sources.\nUsing different datasets on technology adoption and country survey data\, we assess the historical development of potential adaptation technologies (desalination and wastewater treatment)\, as well as trends in water infrastructure providing access and sanitation services. We then study the relation of these variables to socio-economic factors (e.g. population\, GDP\, governance) and climate variables (temperature increase\, water stress\, flood intensity). We use regression models to understand the future capacity to develop and adapt under different socio-economic futures (identified with the Shared Socio-economic Pathways\, SSPs) and climate scenarios\, defined by levels of warming.\nPreliminary results show a strong linkage between water access and sanitation indicators with GDP and inequality\, while governance structure seems to play a significant role in the deployment of desalination technologies.\nComparative analyses of different technologies will help modelling communities to explore the effectiveness of different adaptive strategies and inform policy decisions on the most suitable and challenging adaptation options in the water sector and the most plausible adaptation scenarios.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/adaptive-capacity-in-the-water-sector-under-socio-economic-and-climate-uncertainty/
LOCATION:H 0111
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T130000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T143000
DTSTAMP:20240529T082337Z
CREATED:20240508T075029Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T082337Z
UID:10000029-1718024400-1718029800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Adaptation effectiveness decreases with increasing warming
DESCRIPTION:At present\, we have a limited understanding of the effectiveness of adaptation to reduce risks in a warming world\, as adaptation remains insufficiently addressed in climate impact projections. Where projections exist\, these are mostly assessed in case study settings. Based on a meta-review of projections of adaptation\, we assess the ability of different modelled water-related adaptation options to reduce climate risk at 1.5°C\, 2°C\, 3°C and 4°C of warming and show that the effectiveness of the assessed options decreases with increasing warming across all world regions and options. Our study focusses on those adaptation options most readily represented in sectoral climate impact models and thereby have direct relevance in making progress on better representing adaptation potentials within quantitative adaptation scenarios.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/adaptation-effectiveness-decreases-with-increasing-warming/
LOCATION:H 0111
END:VEVENT
END:VCALENDAR