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X-WR-CALDESC:Events for What Works Climate Solutions
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TZID:Europe/Berlin
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BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T130000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T143000
DTSTAMP:20240603T071344Z
CREATED:20240508T134108Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240603T071344Z
UID:10000192-1718024400-1718029800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Assessing and Comparing the Effects of Climate Public Policies – A New Approach
DESCRIPTION:Assessing and comparing the effects of climate policy measures is of central academic and practical concern. Existing approaches either focus on individual climate policies or the effect of entire climate “policy regimes.” What is missing is an approach that captures and compares the effects of individual climate policies within the context of larger climate policy portfolios. This gap can lead to inaccurate predictions and a less nuanced understanding of climate policy impacts. To address this gap\, a more integrated analytical framework is needed—one that considers the interplay and cumulative effects of various policy measures within countries’ broader climate strategies. \nThis paper introduces such an approach. Drawing on models developed in the area of genome-wide association studies\, we establish an analytical procedure that (1) encapsulates and delineates the entire spectrum of climate policies and (2) discerns and contrasts the influence of each policy on greenhouse gas emissions vis-à-vis the wider policy framework. This dual-phase process not only dissects singular policy impacts but also places them into a comparative context alongside the cumulative effects of concurrent policy measures. \nThis Bayesian-based procedure – the so-called “Conditional Effects in Climate Change Policies” (CECCP) approach creates a concise overview of a particular policy regime and clusters its components into policies with positive\, negative\, and no associations with emission changes. Our empirical application investigates climate policy effects across 21 OECD countries over a span of more than two decades\, revealing intricate dynamics and efficacy profiles of climate policies. This comprehensive analysis underscores the heterogeneity in policy effectiveness and emphasizes the potential for policy learning and transfer within and across countries. Through CECCP\, policy-makers are equipped with a more refined toolset for assessing the effectiveness of different climate policy options.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/assessing-and-comparing-the-effects-of-climate-public-policies-a-new-approach/
LOCATION:H 0104 (Elinor Ostrom Hall)
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T130000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T143000
DTSTAMP:20240529T082211Z
CREATED:20240508T090444Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T082211Z
UID:10000070-1718024400-1718029800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Building Open-Source Empirical Models to Forecast Carbon Emissions
DESCRIPTION:Formulating and implementing climate policy requires a detailed understanding of likely pathways of future carbon emissions. However\, most existing tools to provide forecasts for such emissions exhibit several limitations. Projections are predominantly made for the long-term\, lacking the necessary detail within the typical policy horizon of one to five years. Moreover\, most short-term forecasting models are closed-source ‘black-boxes’ that do not reveal in detail how the obtained forecasts are generated. This paper contributes to closing this gap of a lack of transparent short-term emission forecasts by developing a generalised framework for modelling climate and environmental policies within an empirical macro-econometric modelling approach that is standardised for a large number of countries but allows for immense flexibility. The Aggregate Model is an open-source econometric model builder that primarily aims to provide empirical forecasts of sectoral carbon emissions. The estimated models are based on econometric tools from the robust time series modelling literature such as diagnostic testing\, model selection\, indicator saturation\, and automatic forecast evaluation. We present an illustrative example of how the Aggregate Model as a model-builder tool can be used to forecast different sectoral emissions in Austria. We therefore provide the first short term sectoral emission forecasts for Austria. By putting open-source transparency and replicability at the heart of this project\, we contribute to opening up the existing forecasting space to wider academic discussion\, criticism\, and improvement and hope to provide crucial tools to policy-makers.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/building-open-source-empirical-models-to-forecast-carbon-emissions/
LOCATION:H 0104 (Elinor Ostrom Hall)
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T130000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T143000
DTSTAMP:20240529T082143Z
CREATED:20240508T090324Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T082143Z
UID:10000069-1718024400-1718029800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Climate policies that achieved major emission reductions: Global evidence from two decades
DESCRIPTION:Meeting the Paris Agreement’s climate targets necessitates better knowledge about which climate policies work in reducing emissions at the necessary scale. Here\, we provide the first global\, systematic ex-post evaluation identifying policy combinations that have led to large emission reductions out\nof 1\,500 climate policies implemented between 1998 and 2022 across 41 countries from six continents. Our approach integrates a novel climate policy database that is the most comprehensive\, internationally harmonized\, policy inventory to-date\, with a rigorous\, machine learning-based extension of the common difference-in-differences approach. We identify 63 successful policy interventions with total emission reductions between 0.6 and 1.8 Gt CO2. Our insights on effective but rarely studied policies and previously unknown effective combinations of policies highlight the important role of price-based instruments in well-designed policy mixes\, and the policy efforts necessary for closing the emissions gap in the building\, electricity\, industry\, and transport sectors.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/climate-policies-that-achieved-major-emission-reductions-global-evidence-from-two-decades/
LOCATION:H 0104 (Elinor Ostrom Hall)
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T130000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T143000
DTSTAMP:20240529T082111Z
CREATED:20240508T085937Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T082111Z
UID:10000068-1718024400-1718029800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Attributing Increases in Green Patenting to Disruptive Climate Policies
DESCRIPTION:While the role of innovation in the green transition is widely acknowledged\, ex-post evaluations of policy instruments and policy mixes are limited to a few headline policy instruments. In this paper\, we use patent family data from 22 countries for the years 2000 to 2019\, covering 95% of total green patenting activity\, and combine a differences-in-differences model with a machine learning-based variable selection algorithm to detect structural breaks in the patent counts time series. We attribute positive and negative structural breaks to policies from the recently published OECD climate mitigation policy database and find that policy mixes that include pricing instruments are most effective in stimulating energy\, solar and wind patenting. The results are robust to alternative specifications using standard synthetic control methods.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/attributing-increases-in-green-patenting-to-disruptive-innovation-policies/
LOCATION:H 0104 (Elinor Ostrom Hall)
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T130000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T143000
DTSTAMP:20240529T082036Z
CREATED:20240508T085821Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T082036Z
UID:10000067-1718024400-1718029800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Bayesian Structural Break Detection for the Identification of Effective Climate Policies
DESCRIPTION:In this study\, we introduce a Bayesian approach to detect structural breaks in panel data in the context of step-shift indicator saturated models. We focus on identifying the magnitude of the impact of climate policies with uncertain timing. Traditional methods for climate policy evaluation often rely on precise knowledge of when interventions occur\, comparing outcomes between treated and non-treated groups. However\, the exact timing of policy implementation is often ambiguous\, posing challenges to these conventional approaches. \nWe propose an estimation method for the parameters of indicator saturated model such as those proposed by Pretis and Schwarz (2022) (see also Hendry et al.\, 2020; Yao and Zhao\, 2022) employing Bayesian methods. Our methodological framework offers a coherent probabilistic framework for the detection of structural breaks with unknown timing in panel data. The setup naturally facilitates the quantification of uncertainty around the estimated break dates without additional computational costs. Our approach applies a spike-and-slab prior (using a Dirac spike and a non-local-piMOM slab component) which allows for model consistency with a linearly growing number of parameters\, while allowing for Cauchy tails to avoid bias. \nIn simulation studies\, we show that our approach is competitive with existing frequentist approaches when it comes to identifying breaks in time series\, and outperforms them in terms of false positive rates. We apply our method to assess the effectiveness of climate policies in the European transport sector (Koch et al.\, 2022). Our findings largely confirm previous results\, but also uncover additional policy effects that merit further investigation.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/bayesian-structural-break-detection-for-the-identification-of-effective-climate-policies/
LOCATION:H 0104 (Elinor Ostrom Hall)
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T130000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T143000
DTSTAMP:20240529T081957Z
CREATED:20240508T085636Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T081957Z
UID:10000066-1718024400-1718029800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Towards understanding policy design through text-as-data approaches: The policy design annotations (POLIANNA) dataset
DESCRIPTION:Despite the importance of ambitious policy action for addressing climate change\, large and systematic assessments of public policies and their design are lacking as analysing text manually is labour-intensive and costly. In a project funded by the Swiss National Science Foundation and ETH Zurich\, we made a first step in contributing to overcoming this bottleneck: We created POLIANNA\, a training dataset of policy texts from the European Union (EU) that are annotated based on theoretical concepts of policy design\, which can be used to develop supervised machine learning approaches for scaling policy analysis. The dataset consists of 20\,577 annotated spans\, drawn from 18 EU climate change mitigation and renewable energy policies and is published open source to facilitate follow-up projects. Concretely\, we developed a novel coding scheme translating existing taxonomies of policy design elements to a method for annotating text spans that consist of one or several words. An extensive description of the coding scheme\, the annotated corpus\, and an analysis of inter-annotator agreement complements the training dataset. There are various potential applications that can build on POLIANNA. Primarily\, we envision this database to be used for building tools that help with manual coding of policy texts by automatically proposing paragraphs containing relevant information. As fully automated assessment of policy design characteristics a long-term goal rather than an imminent reality\, we understand our effort as being an important first step along this way\, hoping to encourage practitioners and researchers alike to pick up elements of our framework in their upcoming endeavours. \n 
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/towards-understanding-policy-design-through-text-as-data-approaches-the-policy-design-annotations-polianna-dataset/
LOCATION:H 0104 (Elinor Ostrom Hall)
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T104500
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T120000
DTSTAMP:20240609T131054Z
CREATED:20240522T103336Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240609T131054Z
UID:10000270-1718016300-1718020800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Panel - Towards solution-oriented IPCC assessments
DESCRIPTION:Panelists: Jim Skea (IPCC; Imperial College London)\, Jennifer Morgan (State Secretary)\, Ottmar Edenhofer (MCC; TU; PIK)\, Alan Dangour (Wellcome)\, Carl Schleussner (IIASA) \nModerator: Jenn Thornhill Verma (McMaster Health Forum)
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/panel-towards-solution-oriented-ipcc-assessments/
LOCATION:H 0104 (Elinor Ostrom Hall)
CATEGORIES:Panel
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T101500
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T103500
DTSTAMP:20240609T130928Z
CREATED:20240522T103208Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240609T130928Z
UID:10000269-1718014500-1718015700@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Keynote - What Works? IPCC evidence for understanding climate policy pathways and implementation
DESCRIPTION:Jim Skea is IPCC Chair for the seventh assessment cycle\, Chair of Scotland’s Just Transition Commission and Professor of Sustainable Energy at the Imperial College London (UK).\nKey messages: \n\nIPCC is a unique science-policy interface. Progress in international policy is directly linked to the various assessments by the IPCC synthesizing the state of scientific knowledge.\nImproving our solution-oriented knowledge is increasingly important for international climate negotiations and the global stocktake.\nThe solution-oriented knowledge around pathways to keeping warming well below 2ºC needs to be complemented with a sound understanding of what policies work\, under what conditions in any way.\n\nFollowed by a panel on Towards solution-oriented IPCC assessments
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/keynote-what-works-ipcc-evidence-for-understanding-climate-policy-pathways-and-implementation/
LOCATION:H 0104 (Elinor Ostrom Hall)
CATEGORIES:Keynote
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T085000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T094500
DTSTAMP:20240609T125916Z
CREATED:20240522T102537Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240609T125916Z
UID:10000267-1718009400-1718012700@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Panel - The critical role of evidence-based policy to solve the climate crisis
DESCRIPTION:Panelists: Rohini Pande (Yale University)\, Tobias Kruse (OECD)\, Jochen Kluve (HU)\, Laurenz Mahlanza-Langer (Pan-African Collective for Evidence)\, Lorraine Whitmarsh (CAST\, University of Bath) \nModerator: Marie Gaarder (3ie)
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/panel-the-critical-role-of-evidence-based-policy-to-solve-the-climate-crisis/
LOCATION:H 0104 (Elinor Ostrom Hall)
CATEGORIES:Panel
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T083000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T085000
DTSTAMP:20240609T125809Z
CREATED:20240522T102904Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240609T125809Z
UID:10000268-1718008200-1718009400@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Keynote - Rigorous policy evaluations to support effective climate policies
DESCRIPTION:Rohini Pande is Henry Heinz II Professor of Economics and Director of the Economic Growth Center and Inclusion Economics at Yale University.\nKey messages: \n\nRigorous instrument evaluations are critical to support effective\, efficient and equitable evidence-based climate policies.\nClimate policy evaluations can help us to understand what climate solutions work\, under what conditions and why and enable accelerated learning in science and policy.\nThe climate crisis is a crisis of inequality. Solving the climate crisis without addressing these inequalities is doomed to fail.\n\nFollowed by a panel on The critical role of evidence-based policy to solve the climate crisis
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/keynote-rigorous-policy-evaluations-to-support-effective-climate-policies/
LOCATION:H 0104 (Elinor Ostrom Hall)
CATEGORIES:Keynote
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240609T180000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240609T190000
DTSTAMP:20240609T125710Z
CREATED:20240522T102215Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240609T125710Z
UID:10000266-1717956000-1717959600@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Panel - Towards a rigorous knowledge base on what works for evidence-based climate policies and enhanced IPCC assessments
DESCRIPTION:Panelists: Julian Elliott (Future Evidence Foundation)\, Jan Minx (MCC)\, Michael White (Nature)\, Montasser Kamal (IDRC)\, Vivian Welch (Campbell Collaboration) \nModerator: Jenn Thornhill Verma (McMaster Health Forum)
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/panel-towards-a-rigorous-knowledge-base-on-what-works-for-evidence-based-climate-policies-and-enhanced-ipcc-assessments/
LOCATION:H 0104 (Elinor Ostrom Hall)
CATEGORIES:Panel
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240609T174000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240609T180000
DTSTAMP:20240609T125624Z
CREATED:20240522T102101Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240609T125624Z
UID:10000265-1717954800-1717956000@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Keynote - Living evidence & other frontiers in evidence synthesis - providing tailored evidence when it is needed
DESCRIPTION:Julian Elliott is the founder of the Future Evidence Foundation (producer of Covidence) and the Alliance for Living Evidence (Alive)\, and a Professor at Cochrane Australia within Monash University’s School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine (Australia).\nKey messages: \n\nThe evidence ecosystem in health has not always been as we know it today. It has undergone a fundamental transformation over the past decades\nIt is a good moment in time for change as fundamental barriers to evidence synthesis are torn down through technologies and fundamental innovation\nLeapfrogging towards the living evidence model: learning on climate solutions in quasi-real-time\n\nFollowed by a panel on Towards a rigorous knowledge base on what works for evidence-based climate policies and enhanced IPCC assessments
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/keynote-living-evidence-other-frontiers-in-evidence-synthesis-providing-tailored-evidence-when-it-is-needed/
LOCATION:H 0104 (Elinor Ostrom Hall)
CATEGORIES:Keynote
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240609T160000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240609T165000
DTSTAMP:20240609T125510Z
CREATED:20240521T101247Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240609T125510Z
UID:10000261-1717948800-1717951800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Panel - Human health - Game changer in climate policy and evidence to action?
DESCRIPTION:Panelists: Marina Romanello (UCL) \, Andy Haines (LSHTM) \, Isabel Fletcher (Wellcome)\, Grace Kapustianyk (Global Innovation Fund) \nModerator: Karla Soares-Weiser (Cochrane)
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/human-health-game-changer-in-climate-policy-and-evidence-to-action/
LOCATION:H 0104 (Elinor Ostrom Hall)
CATEGORIES:Panel
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240609T154500
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240609T160000
DTSTAMP:20240609T125423Z
CREATED:20240522T093348Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240609T125423Z
UID:10000263-1717947900-1717948800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Keynote - Towards enhanced evidence synthesis: learning from the health science
DESCRIPTION:Andrew Haines is a Professor of Environmental Change and Public Health at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine\nKey messages: \n\nRigorous evidence synthesis is crucial for effective\, efficient\, and equitable climate action that safeguards both human and planetary health.\nClimate actions often yield significant human health co-benefits that are frequently overlooked\, emphasizing the overall gains of transitioning towards a net-zero society.\nProposals include forming a coalition of organizations\, subnational\, and national initiatives to accelerate progress towards net-zero greenhouse gas emissions. This coalition will prioritize monitoring and evaluating effects on health and greenhouse gas emissions while fostering the sharing of experiences and lessons learned.\n\nFollowed by a panel on Human health – Game changer in climate policy and evidence to action?
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/keynote-climate-and-health-learning-from-each-other-towards-enhanced-evidence-synthesis-towards-a-enhanced-evidence-synthesis-learning-from-the-health-science/
LOCATION:H 0104 (Elinor Ostrom Hall)
CATEGORIES:Keynote
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240609T153000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240609T154500
DTSTAMP:20240609T125009Z
CREATED:20240521T094223Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240609T125009Z
UID:10000260-1717947000-1717947900@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Keynote - Climate Solutions & Health: The Lancet Countdown
DESCRIPTION:Marina Romanello is Executive Director at the Lancet Countdown: Tracking Progress on Health and Climate Change\, Climate Change and Health Researcher at the University College London.\nKey messages: \n\nClimate change causes widespread human suffering today\, affecting millions globally.\nContinued climate inaction poses high costs to human well-being\, with escalating health risks from increasing global temperatures.\nThe Lancet Countdown’s ten years of science assessments highlight the urgent need for health-centered climate action. This includes shifting the global economy to a zero-carbon footing\, presenting transformative opportunities for improving global population health.\n\nFollowed by a panel on Human health – Game changer in climate policy and evidence to action?
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/climate-solutions-health-the-lancet-countdown/
LOCATION:H 0104 (Elinor Ostrom Hall)
CATEGORIES:Keynote
END:VEVENT
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