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BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T113000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T130000
DTSTAMP:20240529T104937Z
CREATED:20240508T142553Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T104937Z
UID:10000217-1718105400-1718110800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:AI-driven data complementarity to support international researchers in climate\, health\, and agriculture
DESCRIPTION:The potential for AI to support decision making in international development for climate\, health\, agriculture and associated domains is significant\, but the bias within current AI models favour data and use cases from high-income countries means that there is limited potential to satisfy the needs and requirements of users\, data stakeholders and communities in low- and middle-income countries. Elements of AI-driven data complementarity\, where data from one system can be optimised with data from another to produce new and novel knowledge\, offer an opportunity to not only increase the volume\, but also the diversity of data. This is especially important for the integration of data from low- and middle-income country partners\, who may have valuable data to contribute but lack infrastructure and systems to help make the data more widely available to the broader world\, resulting in an imbalance of ideas and innovation. Significant gaps within the data available to AI models impact the way that innovative AI-driven technologies identify existing and emerging challenges and hinder the solutions that are subsequently developed. For instance\, more than 450 organizations across 25 African countries maintain high-quality data-rich research repositories that\, due to outdated infrastructure and limited resources\, keep them from readily contributing to integrated global platforms including climate change guidance and recommendations for policy makers. Similar issues exist across low- and-middle income countries in Asia\, Latin America\, and the Middle East. In this session\, we will discuss new tools an approaches from the Juno Evidence Alliance that try to ensure AI-based analyses and the large-language models (LLMS) integrate diversity of data in ethical\, responsible ways.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/ai-driven-data-complementarity-to-support-international-researchers-in-climate-health-and-agriculture/
LOCATION:H 0104 (Elinor Ostrom Hall)
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T113000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T130000
DTSTAMP:20240609T114418Z
CREATED:20240508T141324Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240609T114418Z
UID:10000209-1718105400-1718110800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Evidence mapping - Quantitative synthesis/meta-analysis Systematic review of effectiveness of interventions to reduce carbon-emissions within secondary healthcare: issues with conducting reliable primary research and identifying trustworthy findings
DESCRIPTION:Healthcare services contribute 1% -5% towards global environmental impacts. The Climate Change Act (2008) set targets for the 100% reduction of 1990 carbon emission level in England by 2050.3 Work identifying and delivering interventions to reduce carbon emissions within healthcare supply chains and models of care delivery\, is underway.\nTo complement this work\, we aimed to systematically review primary-evidence examining intervention effectiveness in reducing the carbon footprint for medical specialities within secondary healthcare settings. We searched four bibliographic databases covering health care and environmental sciences\, including MEDLINE and Embase\, Environment Complete and Science Citation Index database. We conducted backward/forward citation searching and searched relevant websites\, Google Search\, and checked relevant systematic reviews\, and the Healthcare Life-cycle Assessment (LCA) database. Two reviewers independently undertook title and abstract and full-text screening\, resolving disagreements through discussion. One reviewer data-extracted all studies\, and quality-appraised LCA studies with a tool based upon Weideima’s guidelines\, which was checked by a second. Findings were tabulated and synthesised narratively.\n88 studies (92 articles) met eligibility criteria across five intervention categories: Accessing care (n=39)\, Product level (n=22)\, Multiple (n=10)\, Care Delivery (n=9) and Setting (n=12). Urology (n=14)\, Gastroenterology (n=13) and Oncology/Radiation oncology (n=13) were the most common specialities represented. 25 articles used LCA methods\, with the highest number in urology product-level interventions (n=7). The most common type of intervention was telemedicine (n=26\, including 3 LCAs). Studies conducted using LCA and non-LCA methods contained common methodological flaws\, making it difficult to accurately determine the systemic impact of interventions intended to reduce carbon-emissions. This has important implications regarding a) ensuring those conducting carbon-emission reduction projects within healthcare settings possess the required skills/knowledge on how to do so b) reflecting on how policy makers can best make use of the evidence available and c) ensuring future research addresses the methodological limitations identified.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/evidence-mapping-quantitative-synthesis-meta-analysis-systematic-review-of-effectiveness-of-interventions-to-reduce-carbon-emissions-within-secondary-healthcare-issues-with-conducting-reliable-prim/
LOCATION:H 0112
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T113000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T130000
DTSTAMP:20240609T114342Z
CREATED:20240508T141101Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240609T114342Z
UID:10000207-1718105400-1718110800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Double Impact: Reducing low-value care - A win-win for patients and the planet: A rapid scoping review
DESCRIPTION:Background: The health care industry is the fifth-largest contributor worldwide to CO2 emissions. Therefore\, health systems need to curb CO2 emissions to become environmentally sustainable. We conducted a scoping review to identify literature on (1) the environmental impacts of de-implementation of low-value health care (LVC) and (2) the environmental sustainability of alternative solutions for health care (e.g.\, devices\, medications).\nMethods: We searched Ovid MEDLINE® and Scopus (Elsevier) from January 2015 up to 19 June 2023 and consulted experts as additional search strategy. We conducted dual and then single reviewing against a priori defined criteria. One reviewer extracted data\, and a second reviewer checked approximately 10% of the data extractions. We used summary statistics to describe the results narratively.\nResults: We included 187 articles. Among those\, seven studies focussed on de-implementation of LVC (e.g.\, laboratory tests\, diagnostic imaging procedures). The other identified studies examined the following health care practices in relation to their environmental impacts: consultation – travel/telecare (32%)\, surgical and medical devices (26%)\, medication (25%)\, surgical procedures (19%) and diagnostic tests/screening/imaging (13%). Life cycle assessments and other modelling studies were the most applied study designs. Most studies were conducted in Europe (48%)\, followed by the USA (37%)\, Australia (9%) and Canada (4%). 75% of the studies were published after 2020. The reported outcomes fell into the following categories: global warming (89%)\, other negative environmental impact (35%)\, resource consumption (28%)\, and chemical hazards (22%).\nConclusion: We identified a steady rise in publications on this topic since 2020. This is indicative of a large and growing scientific interest in environmental sustainability and may be useful as base for further action. De-implementation of LVC seems to be beneficial in two respects: It protects patients from useless or even harmful interventions and can also reduce CO2 emissions of health care.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/double-impact-reducing-low-value-care-a-win-win-for-patients-and-the-planet-a-rapid-scoping-review/
LOCATION:H 0112
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T113000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T130000
DTSTAMP:20240609T114308Z
CREATED:20240508T140939Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240609T114308Z
UID:10000206-1718105400-1718110800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:The effectiveness of mobile app-based interventions in nudging towards sustainable and healthy diets: a systematic review and meta-analysis
DESCRIPTION:One third of all greenhouse gas emissions come from the way we produce and consume food\, and current diets are insufficient to meet environmental and health goals. Given the ubiquity of smartphone usage\, apps delivering effective\, engaging nudges could be a scalable and promising solution. However\, the complexity of apps makes it difficult for stakeholders to prioritise. This systematic review and meta-analysis assessed the effectiveness of mobile apps for promoting sustainable dietary consumption across five food groups.\nSeven electronic databases (MEDLINE\, EMBASE\, PsycINFO\, CINAHL\, Global Health\, GreenFILE\, Web of Science) and two trial registries (Cochrane Trials and Clinicaltrials.gov) were systematically searched for interventional studies\, characterised according to their use of strategies to facilitate behaviour change.\nFourteen of 5261 identified records were included\, comprising 12 randomised controlled trials and two pre-post trials\, with a total of 7826 participants and sample sizes ranging from 17 to 5062. Five studies recruited the general population\, three recruited students\, and six recruited overweight or obese adults\, three of which targeted lower socioeconomic groups. Interventions lasted from three days to 24 weeks\, with the most common strategy being self-monitoring\, followed by messaging\, goal-setting\, and social support. An increase was observed in daily fruit and vegetable consumption (0.43 servings\, 95% CI 0.18\, 0.68)\, vegetables separately (0.35 servings\, 95% CI 0.07\, 0.63)\, and legumes (0.04 servings\, 95% CI 0.01\, 0.08)\, with smaller increases in fruit (0.03 servings\, 95% CI 0.01\, 0.05) and meat consumption (-0.03 servings\, 95% CI -0.06\, -0.01).\nOur findings indicate that smartphone apps could play a role in accelerating dietary change\, particularly for fruits\, vegetables\, and legumes\, but these changes alone will not make diets more sustainable without meat and dairy reduction. These insights could be used by health practitioners and policymakers when considering apps in their suite of solutions for improving climate and health.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/the-effectiveness-of-mobile-app-based-interventions-in-nudging-towards-sustainable-and-healthy-diets-a-systematic-review-and-meta-analysis/
LOCATION:H 0112
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T113000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T130000
DTSTAMP:20240529T111008Z
CREATED:20240508T093727Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T111008Z
UID:10000090-1718105400-1718110800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:An Evidence and Gap Map of the ex-post literature on carbon pricing
DESCRIPTION:After more than 30 years of experience with implemented climate policies and a rapid growth in the scientific literature on these policies\, there is little overview about what policies have been empirically assessed for which policy outcomes. This may lead to duplicated research efforts and hinder rigorous syntheses of available evidence. To identify crucial research gaps and to lead the way towards ecosystems of reviews\, we compile an evidence and gap map focussing on ex-post policy assessments of carbon taxes and emission trading schemes. Preliminary results show that the scientific attention is heavily focussed on emission trading schemes in China and the EU\, while for many of the other 60 carbon pricing schemes the evidence is limited to no or very few scientific publications. We identify large bodies of evidence (>200 publications) which have not yet been synthesised in rigorous systematic reviews for the outcome categories competitiveness of firms and economies\, firm behaviour\, innovation and investment\, as well as price transmission to goods and services. We will provide the evidence and gap map as an interactive tool and accessible database to inform future research and to be used as a source for evidence syntheses on carbon pricing policies.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/an-evidence-and-gap-map-of-the-ex-post-literature-on-carbon-pricing/
LOCATION:H 0107
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T113000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T130000
DTSTAMP:20240529T110933Z
CREATED:20240508T093606Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T110933Z
UID:10000089-1718105400-1718110800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:How effective were the Chinese regional emissions-trading schemes? A meta-analytic answer
DESCRIPTION:China is by far the largest CO2 emitter in the world and its emissions keep on rising. This makes China the single-most important country to study the effectiveness of national mitigation policies. One key pillar in China’s effort to reach its Paris targets while maintaining rapid economic growth are emissions-trading schemes (ETS). Starting in 2013\, China introduced several regional ETS to inform the introduction of a national ETS. Until the latter was rolled out in 2021\, the regional ETS combined were the second-largest ETS in the world. Utilizing China’s regional ETS as unique quasi-natural experiments\, a large strand of literature has emerged to rigorously study their effectiveness. In this study\, we systematically synthesize the existing evidence from publications written in English and Chinese.\nWhile most studies find that the regional ETS did reduce CO2 emissions\, the estimated magnitude of this effect varies greatly. Synthesizing estimates from more than 60 studies through meta-analysis\, we find that the true effect of the regional pilots under the assumption of no bias would be an overall reduction of around 14% over a period of around five years. This would imply effectiveness similar to what an OECD report estimated for the second phase of the EU-ETS (Dechezleprêtre et al.\, 2018). Worryingly\, there is strong evidence for a small-study effect\, possibly due to publication bias. In order to design future policies\, it is important to account for the possibility of publication bias in primary studies. Doing so leads to more pessimistic expectations of what the Chinese ETS may contribute to climate-change mitigation.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/how-effective-were-the-chinese-regional-emissions-trading-schemes-a-meta-analytic-answer/
LOCATION:H 0107
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T113000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T130000
DTSTAMP:20240529T110741Z
CREATED:20240508T093435Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T110741Z
UID:10000088-1718105400-1718110800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Five decades of research on border carbon adjustments – a systematic review of the literature
DESCRIPTION:In a world of nationally determined climate action\, ambitious climate policies in some regions that are not matched by similar efforts in trade partners entail the risk of carbon leakage. Carbon border adjustment mechanisms that impose carbon costs comparable to those of domestic producers are a way to level the playing field and alleviate leakage risks. Such mechanisms have been debated in the academic literature for about 50 years\, but only very recently seen practical implementation in the European Union (EU)\, whose Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) imposes a price comparable to that applied under the EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) on emissions embedded in imports of certain carbon-intensive basic materials\, such as iron and steel. Previous papers have surveyed the literature on carbon border adjustments in a variety of disciplines\, including economics\, legal studies and political science\, with the last comprehensive literature review conducted over a decade ago. We aim to extend and update these contributions by conducting a systematic review of the relevant literature. Based on a keyword search\, we will establish a database of articles to be reviewed. These will be coded to track the evolution of topics addressed in such research and the interest of different scientific communities over time. These insights will then be used to single out major issues on which scholars agree or disagree\, and to identify the underlying reasons for overlapping or conflicting views. Finally\, the systematic review will also help identify remaining research gaps in light of the evolving political debate around BCAs.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/five-decades-of-research-on-border-carbon-adjustments-a-systematic-review-of-the-literature/
LOCATION:H 0107
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T113000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T130000
DTSTAMP:20240529T110711Z
CREATED:20240508T093317Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T110711Z
UID:10000087-1718105400-1718110800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:The carbon pricing paradox
DESCRIPTION:Carbon pricing\, in varied forms\, is an expression of economic theory known for close to 100 years\, and has been proposed in climate policy analysis for 35 years. Yet global progress remains patchy and clearly inadequate\, and in the US – the country in which economists most actively and persistently promoted the carbon pricing agenda – carbon pricing is generally considered “off the table” of any serious political debate. \nTo date\, the IPCC has consistently failed to reach either consistency\, between models and empirics\, or consensus\, between IPCC authors with conflicting world-views on carbon pricing. This talk would outline this background\, arguing a missed opportunity in the Sixth Assessment. \nAgainst this realpolitik empirical background\, this talk would advance a paradox: that carbon pricing can only succeed if its proponents become more modest in what it can realistically deliver; more fundamentally aware of not just distributional but also of political and psychological determinants; and acknowledge the vital contribution of complementary policy instruments. Building upon a recent paper in the Oxford Journal of Economic Policy\, the presentation will advance a broadened economic theory\, as well as political basis\, for regarding other instruments not as “second best”\, but as part of a set of complementary actions necessarily required to foster deep decarbonisation. \nAt the same time\, the presentation will warn against a growing tendency in some academic circles to diminish or disregard the contribution of carbon pricing entirely. Drawing upon empirical observations about the importance of energy prices over long periods\, as well as more fundamental economic principles\, the paper will argue that in the long run it will be impossible to secure deep decarbonisation without strong and robust carbon pricing. \nThe challenge is how to get there\, and intersections of evidence\, theory\, and process we might need to do so.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/the-carbon-pricing-paradox/
LOCATION:H 0107
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T113000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T130000
DTSTAMP:20240529T110639Z
CREATED:20240508T093152Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T110639Z
UID:10000086-1718105400-1718110800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Greenhouse gas (GHG) pricing and mortality: evidence from a systematic review and meta-regression
DESCRIPTION:According to the World Health Organization (WHO)\, the climate crisis constitutes the “greatest threat to global health in the 21st century”\, the impacts of which are extremely unequally distributed. Economic activity associated with greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions results in air pollution mortality\, among other consequences for ill-health. The air quality experienced by 99% of the global population does not meet WHO recommended standards. Thereby\, air pollution is thought responsible for one in 14 deaths. Health co-benefits of climate mitigation generally and GHG pricing specifically are currently largely ignored in policy assessment and decision-making. \nWe present a systematic review and meta-regression of statistical modelling studies analysing how GHG pricing could change ambient air pollution mortality. We find a reduction of ambient air pollution mortality associated with GHG pricing and examine the variation in findings across contexts using meta-regression. However\, there were various threats to validity in the studies – for example\, they often lacked calibration using observational data – meaning that our confidence in the studies was not always high. More generally\, there is a need for more transparent reporting\, which could be facilitated by accepted reporting standards in the field. Our systematic searches identified a relative lack of studies in upper middle- and lower middle-income countries where air pollution is particularly high. Future studies examining the health effects of GHG pricing in these contexts are needed. As with other urgent public health crisis such as Covid-19\, these need to be assessed based on currently available evidence.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/greenhouse-gas-ghg-pricing-and-mortality-evidence-from-a-systematic-review-and-meta-regression/
LOCATION:H 0107
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T113000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T130000
DTSTAMP:20240529T110449Z
CREATED:20240508T084538Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T110449Z
UID:10000060-1718105400-1718110800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Dichotomy or Continuum? A global review of the interaction between autonomous and planned adaptations
DESCRIPTION:Adaptation to climate change is often conceptualized as either/or\, as a dichotomy\, with adaptation responses being categorized as either planned (formal and structured) or autonomous (organic\, self-organized\, everyday). There is recent anecdotal and theoretical evidence on the existence and importance of the interplay between autonomous and planned adaptation\, however examination of this interaction has been limited to date. We use a global database of 1\,682 peer-reviewed articles on adaptation responses (from the Global Adaptation Mapping Initiative\, GAMI) to systematically examine autonomous and planned adaptations\, both quantitatively and qualitatively\, with an emphasis on how these types of adaptations interact with one another. We propose a third category\, mixed adaptation\, which demonstrates characteristics of both autonomous and planned types\, and which recognizes nuances in how organization\, external support\, formality\, and autonomy manifest in the fuzzy space between the two. We find that more than one-third of articles reporting on adaptation responses fall into this mixed category\, with cases across sectors and world regions. We develop a qualitative typology of mixed adaptation that identifies nine ways that autonomous and planned adaptation interact and influence each other both positively and negatively. Based on these findings\, we argue for more nuanced examinations of the interplay between autonomous and planned adaptation\, and for conceptualizing adaptation planning as a continuum between the two rather than a dichotomy. This has implications for research design\, which often do not explicitly consider the interactions between autonomous and planned\, rather focus on either/or. This additionally brings questions to policy norms in the era of the Global Stocktake\, where most indicator frameworks focus on planned adaptation\, thus missing huge swaths of effective and equitable adaptation\, occurring in the form of mixed and autonomous adaptation.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/dichotomy-or-continuum-a-global-review-of-the-interaction-between-autonomous-and-planned-adaptations/
LOCATION:H 0111
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T113000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T130000
DTSTAMP:20240529T110417Z
CREATED:20240508T084419Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T110417Z
UID:10000059-1718105400-1718110800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Progress and Gaps in National Adaptation Policy
DESCRIPTION:Globally\, national governments are developing policies and plans to increase resilience to climate hazards across all sectors. To date\, most methodologies used for tracking adaptation progress focus exclusively on policies and plans that explicitly mention climate adaptation\, unfortunately\, this practice leads to the exclusion of many policies that increase climate resilience but are not explicitly called adaptation policies\, leading to an incomplete understanding of progress in this area. Using a novel methodology that utilizes a comprehensive definition of adaptation policy that includes a broader range of resilience policies than traditional tracking methods\, we develop national policy inventories for adaptation in India and the United States and illustrate the landscape of adaptation policies in both countries. Through this comprehensive policy inventory and assessment\, we identify key gaps and areas for increased policy attention in both countries. This work provides a critical contribution to our understanding of national-level adaptation policy progress as well as a methodological contribution that can be replicated to better understand adaptation progress in other countries.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/progress-and-gaps-in-national-adaptation-policy/
LOCATION:H 0111
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T113000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T130000
DTSTAMP:20240529T110343Z
CREATED:20240508T084307Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T110343Z
UID:10000058-1718105400-1718110800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Ways forward in global adaptation evidence synthesis: Lessons learnt from GAMI and beyond
DESCRIPTION:Evidence of climate change adaptation has grown exponentially in recent years and decades. However\, this evidence base is highly heterogeneous in its methods\, context-specificity\, and relevance for effective risk reduction. The Global Adaptation Mapping Initiative (GAMI) was the first systematic evidence synthesis project that mapped adaptation literature from across the globe and categorised the evidence regarding adaptation types\, patterns\, and regional and sectoral clusters and gaps. After GAMI has been successfully finished\, fed into IPCC AR6 reports\, and used for various spin-off scientific papers\, it is time to take stock: What did and what did not work well in the GAMI process? By whom\, for which purposes and with which methods was the GAMI data used? What are future directions and recommendations for global adaptation evidence synthesis? This paper builds on a survey and group discussion among the GAMI core and advisory teams as well as lead authors of GAMI spin-off papers to collect experiences\, amongst others\, about the opportunities and limitations of the dataset\, extensions and re-analyses of the dataset in the various spin-off projects\, and recommendations for more effective adaptation evidence synthesis. The results of this analysis provide the basis for a new initiative for mapping and tracking global adaptation efforts and integration with novel machine learning-assisted methods\, which can feed into the Global Stocktake (2029) and 7th IPCC assessment cycle.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/ways-forward-in-global-adaptation-evidence-synthesis-lessons-learnt-from-gami-and-beyond/
LOCATION:H 0111
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T113000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T130000
DTSTAMP:20240529T110313Z
CREATED:20240508T084142Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T110313Z
UID:10000057-1718105400-1718110800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Mapping and synthesizing evidence on global adaptation progress: Achievements of GAMI and lessons for the future
DESCRIPTION:As climate change adaptation is unfolding across the world\, a scientific evaluation of progress in adaptation is ever more important. Adaptation projects are increasingly reported and assessed in the scientific literature\, covering an growing breadth of case studies from across different world regions and sectors such as agriculture\, critical infrastructure or settlements. Learning from the systematic mapping and synthesis of adaptation evidence documented in such scientific studies was the main objective of the Global Adaptation Mapping Initiative (GAMI). Launched as a research community effort during the IPCC’s Sixth Assessment Cycle (AR6) it has by now generated an important global knowledge base for the evaluation of adaptation. Next to global overview publications (synthesizing close to 3000 articles)\, a considerable number of regional or sector-specific in-depth studies as well as thematic and methodological extensions to the original data set have been published by now. With a view towards AR7 it is therefore time to stake stock current achievements and debate requirements for the future.\nThe session aims to collect and discuss lessons learned within GAMI and reflect on the implications for future adaptation mapping and synthesis. Contributions with a methodological\, conceptual\, empirical or modeling focus are all welcome. Presentations might concentrate on different sectors and regions or address the overall global picture. We invite not only contributions from colleagues who have contributed to GAMI but explicitly also from users who have not been involved but see a need to discuss potential shortcomings and improvements. Questions of the session include but are not limited to: Which methodological challenges exist in the GAMI approach and how can they be overcome? How can GAMI results be validated and triangulated with other data sets? How can the coding methodology of GAMI be combined with other methods e.g. in the field of large language models?
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/session-mapping-and-synthesizing-evidence-on-global-adaptation-progress-achievements-of-gami-and-lessons-for-the-future/
LOCATION:H 0111
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T113000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T130000
DTSTAMP:20240529T103603Z
CREATED:20240508T080548Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T103603Z
UID:10000038-1718105400-1718110800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Delayed carbon debt drawdown fails younger generations
DESCRIPTION:Current emissions trends may deplete a 1.5°C consistent carbon budget in approximately 6 years\, resulting in a period of exceedance. To inform the equitable realignment of efforts that minimize exceedance magnitude and duration\, we propose the use of ‘net-zero carbon debt’. Net-zero carbon debt is a measure that combines ‘fair’ shares of a remaining carbon budget with carbon drawdown responsibilities during the period of exceedance. We apply this measure to evaluate a set of regional emissions scenarios ranging from current policies to targets and pledges\, considering the per capita allocation of a remaining 1.5°C carbon budget from the year 1990. Quantifications of regional net-zero carbon debt are used to attribute regional responsibility for exceedance drawdown and proportional responsibility for regional climate impacts if this does not occur. Even under our most optimistic assessment of current global ambition\, younger generations in regions accruing net-zero carbon debts inherit annual average exceedance drawdown responsibilities ranging from 0.7-5.6 GtCO2/year between 2050-2100\, while those born in 2020 in these regions are expected to experience 1.1-1.9 times increase in lifetime extreme heatwave exposure relative to a reference 1.5°C scenario if this drawdown does not occur. This analysis can inform the operationalization of equitable intertemporal and interregional effort sharing mechanisms that persist beyond exhaustion of a remaining carbon budget.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/delayed-carbon-debt-drawdown-fails-younger-generations/
LOCATION:H 0110
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T113000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T130000
DTSTAMP:20240606T140507Z
CREATED:20240508T080436Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240606T140507Z
UID:10000037-1718105400-1718110800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Fairness and uncertainty in determining national emission reduction targets
DESCRIPTION:As 2030 approaches and current Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) are not sufficient to meet the Paris Agreement climate goals\, setting more stringent national emission reduction targets in 2040 and 2050 become more and more relevant. The basis of these targets\, however\, can be manyfold. In this research\, we present a comprehensive framework to quantify national emission reduction targets by distinguishing and varying three types of considerations. First\, the interpretation of the Paris Agreement and how this boils down to\, for example\, global emissions in 2040: not only in terms of temperature target\, but also involving uncertainty on climate sensitivity and non-CO2 assumptions. Second\, we consider normative decisions: the allocation of global emissions is done using six different effort-sharing allocation rules following different principles of fairness. Third\, socio-economic and technical uncertainties also impact these calculations\, such as population projections and the potential for negative emissions. These considerations and their impact on national emission reduction targets are shown on a new open online tool\, the Carbon Budget Explorer\, facilitating navigation through the effects of each of these considerations. We compare these national emission reduction targets to current NDCs and to cost-optimal model outcomes\, shedding light on the shortcomings and importance of international collaboration in reaching global goals.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/fairness-and-uncertainty-in-determining-national-emission-reduction-targets/
LOCATION:H 0110
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T113000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T130000
DTSTAMP:20240529T103408Z
CREATED:20240508T080200Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T103408Z
UID:10000035-1718105400-1718110800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Closing decent living gaps in sustainable development pathways with strong equity improvements
DESCRIPTION:Environmental action and international development are two closely linked agendas that dominate international policy discussions. It is therefore important to understand how inequalities and basic needs that are central to development are affected or resolved by environmental policies. \nHere\, we will showcase new development on integrating the material prerequisites for human well-being (using the Decent Living Standards framework; DLS) with energy and emissions scenarios (using Integrated Assessment Models; IAMs). This provides a representation of inequalities in IAMs beyond monetary indicators\, at a country-level\, for three sectors. \nOur new model (DESIREv0.1.0) can be used to both (i) steer the construction of scenarios with IAMs through an iterative process by providing energy targets\, and (ii) assess the size of the energy gap over time\, with the related need for redistribution\, increase in energy use\, or efficiency improvements. \nIn this presentation\, we focus on the outcomes of a set of Sustainable Development Pathways (SDPs)\, which pursue the achievement of all Sustainable Development Goals. All scenarios assume radical within-country inequality reductions and meet stringent climate mitigation targets in line with the Paris Agreement. Between-country economic inequality reduces faster than in SSP1 too\, with the speed of convergence varied across scenarios. \nWe project extremely fast reductions in populations living below the energy requirement for DLS. The energy requirements for DLS themselves decrease due to improvements in service provisioning efficiency. Energy gaps also become very small for household energy needs\, and by mid-century all regions have some energy beyond DLS. We also show how the emissions related to delivering energy for DLS are less than the remaining carbon budget under the SDPs\, but much more if no climate policies are implemented. compare the emissions related to providing DLS to the remaining carbon budget.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/closing-decent-living-gaps-in-sustainable-development-pathways-with-strong-equity-improvements/
LOCATION:H 0110
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T113000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T130000
DTSTAMP:20240529T103337Z
CREATED:20240508T075907Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T103337Z
UID:10000034-1718105400-1718110800@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Breaking Barriers with Patterns: A Participatory Approach for Integrating Justice into Global Mitigation Scenarios
DESCRIPTION:Integrated assessment models (IAMs) commonly used by policymakers in climate decision-making have been criticized for insufficiently incorporating certain justice considerations\, and for being relatively closed to stakeholder inputs and feedback. Based on a comprehensive justice framework\, this work responds to both criticisms and proposes a flexible and pragmatic approach to operationalize distributive justice: justice patterns. Justice patterns are stylized trajectories that represent a specific understanding of distributive justice\, thereby representing either an Aggregate Utilitarian\, Prioritarian\, Egalitarian\, Sufficientarian or Limitarian stand. Those justice patterns can be used to analyze a variety of distributional questions (the distribution of e.g. costs\, benefits\, impacts) as well as intra- and inter-generational justice problem statements.\nSubsequently\, we use justice patterns to derive justice diagnostics for all global mitigation scenarios that were part of the IPCC’s sixth assessment cycle\, and identify the most prominent justice perspectives in current climate scenarios. Furthermore\, we use justice patterns to develop an interactive web-app that systematically inquires justice perceptions of stakeholders.\nWe find that the app is effective in making justice discussions more accessible and tangible. We further find that what is perceived as just varies depending on the distributed object and that Aggregate Utilitarian – represented by growth in all regions – is not a preferred option.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/breaking-barriers-with-patterns-a-participatory-approach-for-integrating-justice-into-global-mitigation-scenarios/
LOCATION:H 0110
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T093000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T110000
DTSTAMP:20240604T084226Z
CREATED:20240604T084226Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240604T084226Z
UID:10000297-1718098200-1718103600@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Climate benefits of bio-based urban construction
DESCRIPTION:The building sector is responsible for almost 40% of global energy-related CO2 emissions (UNEP 2023). If the built environment was constructed with bio-based materials\, it could store significant amounts of carbon in the long term. The transition towards a net-zero built environment could be advanced if the materials are sourced from regional forests. We therefore propose an approach to quantify and match the supply and demand for bio-based building materials for urban agglomerations across the world. A key feature is to be spatially explicit\, thus exploring the potential for demand to be met by regional supplies\, considering the ‘shortening’ of supply chains. The model first aims estimates the potential for regionally sourced bio-based materials to meet the material demand of a transition to a bio-based built environment. Timber Supply is estimated through a statistical model\, mapping the potential production. The demand-side is quantified using generalised building typologies linked to high-resolution earth observation datasets for urban agglomerations. To project future demand\, scenarios are developed considering key socio-economic developments such as future floor area demands or the adoption of timber construction to outline possible future trajectories. In order to match the supply and demand\, a spatially explicit supply-demand balance algorithm is applied to identify regional forest areas needed to theoretically supply future urban construction. Finally\, carbon sinks and substitution effects of a timber-based built environment are quantified using LCA approaches. The scenario-based results provide an overview of the potential of future bio-based construction and associated carbon benefits at the urban scale.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/climate-benefits-of-bio-based-urban-construction/
LOCATION:H 0110
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T093000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T110000
DTSTAMP:20240607T085827Z
CREATED:20240514T094019Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240607T085827Z
UID:10000256-1718098200-1718103600@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:ASCEND: Accelerating climate action and support in Africa using data and knowledge synthesis
DESCRIPTION:
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/ascend-accelerating-climate-action-and-support-in-africa-using-data-and-knowledge-synthesis/
LOCATION:H 3005
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T093000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T110000
DTSTAMP:20240531T075437Z
CREATED:20240508T142252Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240531T075437Z
UID:10000215-1718098200-1718103600@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Impact assessment of food-system policies
DESCRIPTION:Current food systems are neither healthy\, nor sustainable. Without changes towards healthier and more sustainable food systems\, it is unlikely that dangerous levels of climate change can be avoided. In my presentation\, I provide an overview of food-system policies that can contribute to transforming food systems. This includes analyses of the health and environmental implications of a set of informational and fiscal policies. They include changes in dietary guidelines\, the emissions or health pricing of foods\, reforms of value-added taxation\, reform of agricultural subsidies\, and reform of trade agreements. For each of these policies\, I will discuss their potential impacts at global and regional levels based on quantitative modelling assessments I have conducted.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/impact-assessment-of-food-system-policies/
LOCATION:H 0112
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T093000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T110000
DTSTAMP:20240531T075332Z
CREATED:20240508T142124Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240531T075332Z
UID:10000214-1718098200-1718103600@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Climate risk assessment and project planning for agri-food system development: An interactive tool for identifying promising adaptation options
DESCRIPTION:Adaptation to climate change in the agriculture sector is a complex challenge due to the many different negative effects on food production caused by climate variability and change. Using an impact chain approach can help agricultural development program planners understand the network of interlinked challenges facing farmers\, but developing these chains and identifying appropriate adaptation options is a time- and resource-intensive process. This session will present the development of an interactive data exploration and data visualisation tool created to aid project planners in mainstreaming climate adaptation considerations in their agricultural programming using an impact chain approach and ontology-based data access (OBDA) technology. The resulting tool\, dubbed Climate Risk Planning and Managing Tool for Development Programmes in Agri-Food Systems\, or simply CRISP\, uses a curated repository of peer-reviewed and scientific literature combined with expert opinion on climatic hazards\, impacts\, vulnerabilities and adaptation options in agriculture for a wide range of agricultural systems across the developing world. This presentation will give an overview of the development of the tool\, the challenges faced and how they were addressed\, and will use short case study examples to showcase the tool’s potential.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/climate-risk-assessment-and-project-planning-for-agri-food-system-development-an-interactive-tool-for-identifying-promising-adaptation-options/
LOCATION:H 0112
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T093000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T110000
DTSTAMP:20240529T102336Z
CREATED:20240508T132428Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T102336Z
UID:10000182-1718098200-1718103600@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Reducing cost of capital to finance the energy transition in developing countries: a multi-model analysis
DESCRIPTION:Climate stabilisation requires mobilising significant investments in low- and zero-carbon technologies\, especially in emerging and developing economies. However\, access to stable and affordable finance varies dramatically across countries. Models used to evaluate the energy transition do not differentiate regional financing costs and therefore cannot study risk-sharing mechanisms for renewable electricity generation. Here\, we first incorporate empirically estimated cost of capital (CoC) differentiated by country and technology in an ensemble of five global climate-energy-economy models (GCAM\, IMACLIM\, IMAGE\, TIAM\, and WITCH)\, which allows us to identify results robust to structural uncertainty. Subsequently we add a time dimension through financing experience curves\, i.e. a learning-by-doing process for CoC. This realistic costs of capital imply higher financing costs for developing regions compared to others\, so we explore a scenario of reducing these costs: the CoC of electricity generation in developing countries converges to that of the global North by 2050\, i.e. a future world in which international access to energy financing is equal. We explore scenarios under two climate policy scenarios\, in which the world follows Nationally Determined Contributions or is 1.5°C compliant.\nThe effects of the modelled cost of capital convergence policy are multifaceted. The direct outcome is the significant reduction of CoC in the global South. This produces interesting dynamics in the climate-economy and in the equity domains. Within the former\, more renewable electricity is generated in developing countries\, which increases mitigation or reduces its cost\, depending on the climate policy scenario. Moreover\, these changes clearly improve the energy justice of the green transition\, by decreasing inequality along dimensions like energy expenditure and access to modern electricity generation.\nTherefore\, we find significant climate and equity benefits of alleviating financial constraints. The proposed methods can help to model financial constraints more realistically and opens up new avenues for shaping international climate policies.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/reducing-cost-of-capital-to-finance-the-energy-transition-in-developing-countries-a-multi-model-analysis/
LOCATION:H 0110
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T093000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T110000
DTSTAMP:20240529T102306Z
CREATED:20240508T132312Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T102306Z
UID:10000181-1718098200-1718103600@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Climate ambition\, background scenario or the model? Attribution of the variance of energy-related indicators in global scenarios
DESCRIPTION:We attribute variations in key energy sector indicators across global climate mitigation scenarios to climate ambition\, assumptions in background socioeconomic scenarios\, differences between models and an unattributed portion that depends on the interaction between these. The scenarios assessed have been generated by Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) as part of a model intercomparison project exploring the Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs) used by the climate science community. Climate ambition plays the most significant role in explaining many energy-related indicators\, particularly those relevant to overall energy supply\, the use of fossil fuels\, final energy carriers and emissions. The role of socioeconomic background scenarios is more prominent for indicators influenced by population and GDP growth\, such as those relating to final energy demand and nuclear energy. Variations across some indicators\, including hydro\, solar and wind generation\, are largely attributable to inter-model differences. Our Shapley–Owen decomposition gives an unexplained residual not due to the average effects of the other factors\, highlighting some indicators (such as the use of carbon capture and storage (CCS) for fossil fuels\, or adopting hydrogen as an energy carrier) with outlier results for particular ambition-scenario-model combinations. This suggests guidance to policymakers on these indicators is the least robust. \nHighlights\n• We attribute variation across global climate mitigation scenarios to three factors. \n• The three factors are climate ambition\, scenario background and model choice. \n• Many indicators are well-explained by the average effects of one or two factors. \n• We also calculate the residual not explained by these average effects. \n• This shows which indicators give outliers for some specific input combinations.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/climate-ambition-background-scenario-or-the-model-attribution-of-the-variance-of-energy-related-indicators-in-global-scenarios/
LOCATION:H 0110
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T093000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T110000
DTSTAMP:20240529T102222Z
CREATED:20240508T132214Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T102222Z
UID:10000180-1718098200-1718103600@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Addressing path dependence in emissions-economy models for emerging economies: Implications for identifying low-carbon development pathways
DESCRIPTION:Emissions-economy models are widely used for informing low-carbon development policies and targets. These models typically use historical data sets to quantify interrelationships among key variables\, which are then used to translate inputs into forward-looking projections. While such models have been extensively applied in developed countries\, they are also being increasingly deployed in developing countries. These countries are witness to rapid – often uneven – economic growth\, as they transition from predominantly agrarian and low-quality manufacturing to industrialised or services-dominated economies. Given these upcoming structural shifts\, the interrelationships among variables that have been quantified using historical data are likely to be rapidly outdated. As a result\, the internal formulae by which such models translate assumptions into projections may not be fit for purpose. \nUsing a two-part approach\, this paper argues that this path dependence embedded into model constructs can lead to constrained projections for developing countries\, thereby risking misaligned policies. Primarily\, studying six recent emissions-economy modelling studies conducted for India\, this paper illustrates how development choices – which are baked into model constructs – largely shape projected emissions\, energy demand\, power generation\, investment requirements\, and employment implications\, and thereby inform recommendations for India’s low-carbon transition policies. Within this\, the paper explores the shifting interrelationships among three major structural variables that strongly reflect India’s future development pathway – urbanization\, shares of economic output from different activities\, and total factor productivity – to show that most existing models for India overdetermine its future pathway through their internal design choices. \nThe paper highlights how modelling of low-carbon pathways for developing countries carries these additional complexities\, and suggests rethinking how models developed for the global North are used in more structurally evolving countries such as India\, incorporating greater flexibility\, allowing for more explicit structural variations\, and encouraging greater uncertainty analyses.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/addressing-path-dependence-in-emissions-economy-models-for-emerging-economies-implications-for-identifying-low-carbon-development-pathways/
LOCATION:H 0110
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T093000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T110000
DTSTAMP:20240529T102152Z
CREATED:20240508T132031Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T102152Z
UID:10000179-1718098200-1718103600@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Towards Effective Subnational Climate Policy: A Systematic Five-Step Analytical Approach Based on Evidence from German States
DESCRIPTION:While much of the discussion focuses on international and national climate policy\, achieving international climate goals will also require rigorous climate policy action at the subnational level. However\, it is challenging to evaluate and formulate the level and type of subnational action required within this complex and interconnected multi-level context. Synthesising insights from projects in the German states of Saxony and Rhineland-Palatinate\, we propose a five-step analytical approach to derive effective and targeted climate policy measures for the state level. The first step involves scenario modelling and model synthesis to establish an analytical reference point. In this context\, we advocate for the derivation of state and sector-level carbon dioxide (CO2) budgets aligned with Paris Agreement requirements to underscore the necessary climate policy ambition. Secondly\, a scenario comparison is used to discern sectors where government intervention is particularly imperative. The third step identifies goal-oriented strategies that subnational climate policies should target. Fourth\, a barrier and stakeholder analysis pinpoints priority areas for action. Lastly\, recommendations for action are derived from a systematic synthesis of the preceding steps. Taken together\, this approach promises a systematic and evidence-based method for crafting subnational climate policies\, contributing to the overall effectiveness of climate change mitigation efforts.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/towards-effective-subnational-climate-policy-a-systematic-five-step-analytical-approach-based-on-evidence-from-german-states/
LOCATION:H 0110
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T093000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T110000
DTSTAMP:20240529T102016Z
CREATED:20240508T131728Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T102016Z
UID:10000177-1718098200-1718103600@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Maximizing the Contribution of Aviation to 2050 Net-Zero Emission Reduction Pathways through Evidence-Based Policy
DESCRIPTION:The International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) and multiple influential trade groups such as the International Air Transport Association (IATA) have announced goals to make aviation net-zero by 2050. However\, in most net-zero pathways aviation is still considered a hard-to-abate sector that is unlikely to contribute meaningfully to emissions reductions in this timeframe. Designing ambitious policies that can achieve dramatic cuts in aviation emissions requires granular empirical evidence on current innovations\, investments\, commitments\, flight routes\, and other actions across a range of stakeholders. Here\, we build a novel evidence base combining data on aviation start-ups\, corporate commitments\, and demonstration projects and combine it with a sectoral and integrated assessment model to evaluate how policy action scenarios can accelerate emissions abatement in the aviation industry. \nWe use the Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM)\, a technology-rich integrated assessment model\, to investigate different technology and policy pathways to decarbonize the aviation sector in the US and EU. We focus on sustainable aviation fuels (SAF) and novel aircraft designs (electric and hydrogen planes) as the primary abatement technologies\, separating policy actions into technology supply and demand-side categories and accounting for different levels of corporate ambition. We use granular data inputs from i3 Cleantech on aviation start-ups and ICAO on technology development and corporate adoption to quantify the scaling potential of abatement technologies. \nOur results show that while complete decarbonization of aviation may be difficult and costly\, the sector can deliver emissions reductions that limit the need for offsetting in net-zero pathways. Full decarbonization of the aviation sector will likely place additional burdens on biofuel production and scaling of clean electricity generation unless coupled with demand reduction policies such as mode shifting. Combining an evidence base with policy scenarios can allow policymakers to design and gauge the role of aviation in net-zero pathways more accurately.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/maximizing-the-contribution-of-aviation-to-2050-net-zero-emission-reduction-pathways-through-evidence-based-policy/
LOCATION:H 0110
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T093000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T110000
DTSTAMP:20240531T073601Z
CREATED:20240508T115253Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240531T073601Z
UID:10000162-1718098200-1718103600@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:The Social\, Economic\, and Political Trade-offs of Climate Change Adaptation in Uganda: Towards building resilient communities
DESCRIPTION:Worldwide and Uganda in particular\, climate change continues pose significant challenges to communities. The changing climate\, characterized by erratic rainfall patterns\, prolonged droughts\, land degradation\, and extreme weather events have adversely affected agriculture\, water resources management\, public health\, and infrastructure development. To address these challenges\, various initiatives have been implemented by state actors\, non-state actors\, and local farmers in Uganda. Drawing on a mixed methods study involving over 1500 respondents\, my presentation will examine the social\, economic\, and political trade-offs of climate change adaptation in Uganda. The findings show that while some individuals possess knowledge of adaptive practices through traditional wisdom or local innovations\, others lack access to information or resources necessary for effective adaptation measures. This creates disparities in adaptive capacities among different groups. Gender dynamics and socioeconomic disparities also play a role in exacerbating social inequalities during the adaptation process. Economically disadvantaged smallholder farmers who rely heavily on rain-fed agriculture struggle to invest in technologies that could enhance their adaptive capacities due to financial constraints. Balancing short-term livelihood needs with long-term investments becomes a complex trade-off that policymakers must address. The political dimension of climate change adaptation explores the governance structures required for effective planning and implementation. Coordinated efforts among multiple stakeholders including government agencies at national and local levels as well as civil society organizations are crucial for successful adaptation. However\, “”policy implementation gaps”” often hinder progress due to limited institutional capacity or conflicting priorities across sectors.\nThe presentation emphasizes the importance of integrated approaches that consider the interlinkages between social equity (including gender dynamics)\, economic realities (such as financial constraints)\, and political frameworks in climate change adaptation strategies. Understanding these complexities can help policymakers and practitioners develop more robust approaches that maximize benefits while minimizing negative consequences.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/the-social-economic-and-political-trade-offs-of-climate-change-adaptation-in-uganda-towards-building-resilient-communities/
LOCATION:H 3005
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T093000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T110000
DTSTAMP:20240529T102851Z
CREATED:20240508T113340Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T102851Z
UID:10000151-1718098200-1718103600@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Public preferences for phasing-out fossil fuels in the German building and transport sectors
DESCRIPTION:In most of Europe\, the decarbonisation of the building and transport sectors lags behind emission targets. Achieving full decarbonisation requires not only the diffusion of net-zero emission technologies but also the phase-out of technologies that emit greenhouse gases (GHG). However\, implementing policy changes in these sectors can have an immediate and significant impact on people’s day-to-day life\, leading to a higher risk of political backlash\, as exemplified by the yellow vest movement in France. In this study\, we investigate public preferences for phase-out policy packages in both sectors in Germany by conducting two conjoint experiments with 1\,777 respondents in March 2022. Respondents collectively evaluated a total of 17\,770 policy packages per sector\, specifically targeting the phase-out of fossil fuel-based heating systems and internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs). We find that respondents favour earlier phase-out dates for both technologies\, but the type of preferred instruments varies: while regulatory instruments like bans are preferred for heating systems\, economic instruments like taxes are preferred for ICEVs. These preferences are even more pronounced in people most concerned about climate change. In addition\, we find that people with higher knowledge about sector emissions tend to demonstrate higher acceptance of policy interventions and that supportive measures significantly enhance the attractiveness of policy packages. Our findings can inform the design of phase-out policy packages\, potentially increasing their acceptability and political feasibility.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/public-preferences-for-phasing-out-fossil-fuels-in-the-german-building-and-transport-sectors/
LOCATION:H 0104 (Elinor Ostrom Hall)
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T093000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T110000
DTSTAMP:20240529T102714Z
CREATED:20240508T113028Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T102714Z
UID:10000148-1718098200-1718103600@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Unraveling the Link Between Political Discourse on Climate Change in EU Party Manifestos and Climate Policy Implementation
DESCRIPTION:How do political parties discuss climate change and climate policies in their manifestos? To what extent does such discourse correlate with countries’ climate policy output? With more ambitious climate action required to achieve global climate mitigation goals\, climate change has become increasingly salient in the political arena. However\, the literature currently lacks a comprehensives analysis of EU parties’ climate policy positions and of the extent to which parties’ electoral programs are translated into climate policy output. In this paper\, we build a dataset of party positions on climate change and climate policy instruments for most parties active in all EU countries from 1980 to 2021. To do so\, we test and apply a set of multilingual transformers to the corpus of political manifestos made available by the Manifesto Project. To test the correlation between political discourse in the electoral manifestos of winning coalitions and the amount and stringency of climate policies that are actually implemented\, we combine our dataset on party positions with data on implemented climate policies made available by the OECD Climate Actions and Policy Measurement Framework. With this paper\, we make the following contributions: 1) The expansion of the Manifesto Project dataset to include specific climate policy variables for EU countries; 2) The implementation of an efficient and replicable pipeline for multilingual and multiclass text classification for political discourse; and 3) The evaluation of correlations between party positions on climate policy and actual climate mitigation policy outcomes.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/unraveling-the-link-between-political-discourse-on-climate-change-in-eu-party-manifestos-and-climate-policy-implementation/
LOCATION:H 0104 (Elinor Ostrom Hall)
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T093000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T110000
DTSTAMP:20240529T102648Z
CREATED:20240508T112925Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240529T102648Z
UID:10000147-1718098200-1718103600@whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Breaching the social contract? Insights on the public acceptability of fossil fuel subsidy removal in Colombia
DESCRIPTION:The elimination of fossil fuel subsidies presents a practical strategy for global south countries to bolster climate mitigation endeavours. In our research paper\, we delve into the crucial role of public attitude toward the subsidy removal in Colombia. Since 2022\, the Colombian government has gradually elevated gasoline prices to align with global market rates\, aligning with its aspiration to become a carbon neutral society. A parallel initiative for diesel prices is slated for implementation in this year. \nWhile fuel subsidies historically aimed to support vulnerable households\, their primary beneficiaries are high-income households that consume greater amounts of fossil energy. The elimination of these subsidies raises concerns about the government’s fulfilment of its social contract\, for instance if adequate replacements for poor and vulnerable households are lacking. Other instances\, such as those in Ecuador\, France\, Nigeria\, and more recently Germany\, illustrate how the elimination of subsidies incite widespread protests with broad societal support\, highlighting their role in the countries’ social contract. \nOur research adopts a mixed-method approach to assess the public acceptability of the elimination process and its implications for Colombia’s social contract. We conduct interviews with stakeholders involved in or affected by the process to gather diverse perspectives on the impact of subsidy removal on the social contract. Additionally\, we explore alternative reform designs that could enhance public acceptability. Using insights from these interviews\, we design a discrete choice experiment to test various reform options\, aiming to identify alternatives that effectively improve public attitudes toward the policy.
URL:https://whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/breaching-the-social-contract-insights-on-the-public-acceptability-of-fossil-fuel-subsidy-removal-in-colombia/
LOCATION:H 0104 (Elinor Ostrom Hall)
END:VEVENT
END:VCALENDAR